TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Spurs win on 2024-11-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,947 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc58d…9373backed No36c48,002$17,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,330.8313829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa84b…5055backed Yes69c47,488$32,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,595.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No24c13,419$3,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,156.7437841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No61c11,257$6,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,885.7711657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a6…dd8fbacked No7c11,206$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.96714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b46…db60backed Yes64c8,895$5,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,161.961450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes12c4,442$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,909.2440254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c9…5a0cbacked Yes25c4,176$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1323100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+123.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No35c4,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes17c3,045$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,531.5668026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3320…2cf2backed Yes63c2,731$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Yes70c2,291$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.871361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes55c2,215$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.511937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No36c2,037$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.3879650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes51c1,893$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.218230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes29c1,731$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.1132736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes13c1,708$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.115337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe214…fcbabacked Yes12c1,586$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+221.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd4a…d59fbacked No41c1,471$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes13c1,295$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.7129044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No13c815.53$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.666031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1fe…2835backed Yes14c800$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.92944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Yes13c789.53$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.894560%27 W · 18 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+97.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x200e…e239backed Yes64c690.3$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a1…9fd5backed Yes52c638.25$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.021457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes14c630.76$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.45714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x278c…0fbdbacked Yes45c569.22$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.541361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1c5…d5a0backed Yes27c524.43$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+71.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe95b…9d2fbacked Yes28c512.54$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.65933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Yes15c500$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4255653.6%30 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No27c481.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9519743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2b50…6c55backed Yes66c467.84$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.455630.4%17 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a27…fe44backed Yes14c452.79$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.12540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6451…025fbacked Yes14c450$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3876230.6%19 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed No36c419.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2339561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005653.6%30 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+64.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3007825.6%20 W · 58 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b3…5fa4backed Yes66c361.25$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.252737%10 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1a8d…d0c8backed Yes50c359$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No35c355.22$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2734251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50ef…3abdbacked Yes14c335.71$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.711258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+76.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6980…a328backed Yes14c256.71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.82258%2 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-56.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Yes12c249.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick11cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48e…8f7dbacked Yes70c242.26$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.511827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-46.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3072…86b6backed Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Yes62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769150.5%46 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-43.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17b…f7f5backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec76…1036backed No47c188.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.11526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes17c180$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.45644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Yes64c173.09$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.883246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Yes39c172.72$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.364932.7%16 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed Yes72c167.36$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.367256.9%41 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes15c159.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2829643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed1f…3462backed Yes13c153.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.856354%34 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes65c142.94$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.034242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47ee…a079backed Yes69c140.46$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.543652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x847f…08a5backed Yes14c140$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4825%2 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+58.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9519…38fdbacked Yes13c135.38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+365.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x682a…4b62backed Yes13c115.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.381741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8815…e147backed Yes14c111.77$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.123345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f0…90f4backed Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.112737%10 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes14c107.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.142536%9 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d59…f80dbacked Yes67c104.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.231464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+47.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4687…c40ebacked Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042552%13 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Yes64c99.88$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.895050%25 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes70c99.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3428070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x4c6c…19ffbacked Yes16c93.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+310.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes55c90.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5918433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbee3…20ddbacked Yes64c88.97$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.031060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6cf…bb19backed Yes17c87.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+192.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No43c87.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6737652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57ca…9427backed Yes69c86.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffa5…a709backed Yes59c83.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36cc…9e29backed Yes13c80$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+156.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa96d…25b3backed Yes50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50d5…a03abacked Yes64c77.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x900b…d5c7backed Yes68c77.63$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.01944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick67cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes18c77.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.627116.9%12 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe43…c5b1backed Yes52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x464e…7bd8backed Yes69c75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.253953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48b7…63f1backed Yes16c73.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.453423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c31…5f1bbacked Yes63c71.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.751127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes29c69.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0722932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377e…d43ebacked Yes66c68.68$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad3…226fbacked Yes17c67.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d6…e85bbacked Yes67c65.79$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Yes72c62.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.572055%11 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a1…39f1backed Yes16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ba…818ebacked Yes52c62.08$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaece…aac3backed Yes18c61.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfab5…5eabbacked Yes37c58.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd206…8a30backed Yes56c56.65$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.93560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+45.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a18…4190backed Yes64c55.73$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa34d…1de4backed Yes47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x040f…c3e1backed Yes25c47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.251330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked No37c46.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0511915.1%18 W · 101 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ca1…a8cdbacked Yes67c45.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.01666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.