TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Grizzlies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Pacers, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$204,221
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$253,610

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,221 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies69c9,356$6,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.041,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeca…9826backed Grizzlies37c8,881$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,600.63826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pacers43c7,293$3,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,145.6765642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Pacers39c6,841$2,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,636.3214233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Pacers50c5,260$2,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,651.4215056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Grizzlies74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.9972241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fda…f190backed Pacers31c4,778$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.173762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Grizzlies42c4,499$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,620.258417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f82…d8c7backed Grizzlies67c4,382$2,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.589735.1%34 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Pacers27c4,270$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.3585347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Grizzlies51c4,203$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.8623956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70a…6de8backed Pacers55c4,112$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.748460.7%51 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pacers39c3,643$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.4161532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Pacers46c3,427$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.1629043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pacers2c3,190$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.981,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Grizzlies74c3,130$2,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.926167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Pacers26c3,076$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.8816617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Grizzlies36c2,978$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.969557.9%55 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers34c2,955$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.171,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…9f7ebacked Grizzlies71c2,892$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.762450%12 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Pacers30c2,600$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78450047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers6c2,562$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.41,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…33ccbacked Pacers66c2,558$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7003259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fdc…42f9backed Grizzlies71c2,178$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.244858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers29c2,118$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.181,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Pacers3c1,983$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6837627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…20fabacked Pacers64c1,939$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfca6…53e2backed Grizzlies75c1,935$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.59580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pacers25c1,600$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40075347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3586…eecfbacked Grizzlies72c1,568$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.153754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Pacers27c1,370$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.1211143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Grizzlies51c1,363$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.287346.6%34 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pacers69c1,352$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.5749849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Pacers62c1,223$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7591,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d28…bb26backed Pacers67c1,203$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8023745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Grizzlies58c1,170$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.0111146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers48c1,105$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.473,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pacers25c1,100$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27546928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0f6f…d9d4backed Grizzlies73c1,025$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.965056%28 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Grizzlies72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28016242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pacers30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Grizzlies59c991.5$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.1812154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Grizzlies65c931.93$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.3119650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef3b…5cefbacked Grizzlies44c900$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5013450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb88d…291abacked Grizzlies70c866.07$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.82755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x601e…b6e7backed Pacers26c847$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Pacers29c800.92$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.276253.2%33 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Grizzlies72c792.32$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.4919642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pacers39c741.93$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.511,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Pacers30c724.84$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6417244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ef8…eff3backed Pacers30c714$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.21450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae22…4bb7backed Pacers30c680.63$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.642839.3%11 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Pacers30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd263…e4eebacked Grizzlies72c612.37$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.374946.9%23 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Pacers41c602.05$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.8413920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Grizzlies54c560.36$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.2637831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Pacers28c549.99$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1548129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Pacers28c539$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.745251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3937…f693backed Grizzlies53c501.87$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78da…9d47backed Grizzlies51c492.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.796851.5%35 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x899b…fbdfbacked Grizzlies62c480.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.33650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Pacers57c464.42$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.8328657.3%164 W · 122 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed Grizzlies52c450.62$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.624334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Grizzlies67c450$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.54656.5%26 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ea…2ba7backed Pacers54c447.02$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.396563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07bf…cd05backed Pacers29c445.59$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x937b…833fbacked Grizzlies72c445.53$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.75633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Grizzlies63c434.09$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.739052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7374…1df5backed Grizzlies70c430$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-60.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Pacers26c408.19$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.137143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebb…f184backed Pacers30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad46…f468backed Grizzlies71c350$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies44c316.93$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.481,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ae…a7edbacked Pacers30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa6…b56abacked Pacers30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef04…88c3backed Pacers26c299.95$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.993847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14d7…774ebacked Grizzlies67c284.64$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.935839.7%23 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Grizzlies75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6718666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb801…9c97backed Grizzlies78c262.82$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.826100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Grizzlies33c250$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.2453250.4%268 W · 264 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Pacers36c248.19$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3917464.9%113 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Grizzlies26c238.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.859724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Pacers63c221.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2410462.5%65 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab5d…a21bbacked Pacers74c219.24$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e5…293bbacked Grizzlies48c208.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.323655.6%20 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa32b…e132backed Pacers29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011035.5%39 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Pacers66c200.98$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6527739.4%109 W · 168 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Pacers51c200$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10323548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Pacers39c200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0134644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x624f…2fa6backed Grizzlies38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1245536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7551…a8e9backed Grizzlies48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56f2…fdbabacked Pacers51c199.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d8…7359backed Grizzlies73c199.97$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.995257.7%30 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec2…826bbacked Pacers8c180.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.465820.7%12 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Pacers58c173.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.970951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfc5…817ebacked Grizzlies74c170$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.24763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x166f…c6f4backed Pacers30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-67.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x953c…9034backed Grizzlies74c160$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.66251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaacd…a4d5backed Grizzlies74c154$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-73%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0026…cd66backed Pacers24c150$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.511428.1%32 W · 82 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.