Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x068298010480648793fcded979e719692cd5b50c38883c1b91a02ab92d8f7219
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 54c | 162,457$87,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,346.6 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a627backed No | 46c | 151,375$70,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,146.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 31c | 11,557$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 45c | 7,596$3,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.78 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 68c | 5,494$3,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.53 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed No | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 32c | 4,800$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 33c | 3,000$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.45 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 70c | 2,553$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.86 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 32c | 2,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.98 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 69c | 2,000$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.12 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 32c | 1,409$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.33 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 30c | 1,286$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.83 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,263$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.86 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 46c | 1,259$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.15 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Yes | 69c | 1,247$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.57 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 49c | 1,200$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 60c | 1,144$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.2 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Yes | 68c | 1,022$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.94 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 31c | 1,007$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.19 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…f2a5backed No | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Yes | 69c | 999.96$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 69c | 932.81$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.77 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 54c | 928.04$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.04 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 37c | 880.64$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.74 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 69c | 869.61$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.58 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed No | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 7c | 741.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Yes | 56c | 658.2$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e4…1f69backed Yes | 68c | 645.18$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…5076backed No | 32c | 644.97$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Yes | 68c | 629.15$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.97 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 68c | 583.95$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.89 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Yes | 69c | 528.81$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked No | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Yes | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes | 71c | 438.13$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…6003backed No | 34c | 423.65$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…079fbacked Yes | 68c | 405.16$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 69c | 400.06$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.02 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Yes | 68c | 379.99$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.39 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Yes | 68c | 366.5$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.28 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Yes | 69c | 344.43$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.77 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3b…e3babacked Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…4ef5backed No | 32c | 265.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 68c | 232.96$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 30c | 225$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 31c | 222$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd7…1365backed Yes | 70c | 210$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed No | 32c | 204.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -8.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Yes | 68c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 29c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…4f6dbacked Yes | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Yes | 69c | 195.51$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Yes | 62c | 185.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…e3efbacked Yes | 69c | 177.07$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 60c | 169.71$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.88 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…3012backed No | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…7359backed No | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…61cdbacked Yes | 66c | 149.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c88…6871backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 40c | 135.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 50c | 117.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6b00backed Yes | 70c | 109.07$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…9ba9backed Yes | 69c | 103.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf84…2494backed No | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb7…b6b0backed Yes | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c4…2249backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…9279backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8744…8f31backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0795…be42backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…a592backed Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 67c | 99.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7801…422bbacked No | 34c | 98.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 33c | 95.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…5d57backed Yes | 69c | 85.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f5…7137backed Yes | 69c | 84.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6d…9dc0backed No | 32c | 84.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1152…caa8backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 68c | 73.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6133…d27cbacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…76d3backed No | 32c | 72.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked No | 35c | 71.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…097dbacked Yes | 69c | 69.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5326…58d2backed Yes | 63c | 64.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…8ffbbacked No | 31c | 64.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 67c | 59.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-04?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Manchester United end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.