Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-30?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a4d0386b11227013777f7aca7579ab08b225fd6007096e58a0c3e719af874b3

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 30, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $35,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $36,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,317 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x834e…8015backed No	6c	5,814$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,465.48	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+6.4wins	+0.17per pick	39cpaid	+102.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3483…cdabbacked Yes	44c	2,337$1,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,036.06	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.34per pick	54cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No	62c	2,287$1,424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$862.69	116	57.8%67 W · 49 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked No	56c	2,213$1,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$973.69	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked No	6c	2,000$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,880	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+6.0wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+97.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc6a1…9fd5backed Yes	44c	1,592$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.46	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No	19c	1,278$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,033.73	378	41.8%158 W · 220 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No	56c	1,248$699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.21	49	63.3%31 W · 18 L	+6.6wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+26%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Yes	73c	1,156$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.44	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed No	57c	1,038$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446.75	83	62.7%52 W · 31 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed No	55c	1,000$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes	39c	1,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	346	43.9%152 W · 194 L	-14.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked No	56c	999.96$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.98	81	45.7%37 W · 44 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No	56c	730.73$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.52	406	40.9%166 W · 240 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1fe…2835backed Yes	38c	700$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	+61.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes	30c	600$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	449	39.6%178 W · 271 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes	43c	600$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258	82	59.8%49 W · 33 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b6a…4873backed No	29c	572.41$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.41	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed No	30c	333.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.33	77	37.7%29 W · 48 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes	44c	318.18$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No	27c	290.4$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.44	796	50.8%404 W · 392 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x166f…c6f4backed Yes	44c	272.73$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	49cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes	42c	261.72$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.92	318	43.1%137 W · 181 L	-15.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes	78c	256.41$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	395	61.3%242 W · 153 L	-21.3wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x188b…6003backed No	60c	250$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+3.0wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x365e…ec69backed Yes	45c	244.95$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-2.8wins	-0.17per pick	58cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No	16c	232.11$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.97	197	43.7%86 W · 111 L	+32.4wins	+0.16per pick	27cpaid	+142.5%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes	44c	227.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.1	184	33.7%62 W · 122 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ff…b701backed Yes	44c	226.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4629…6fc1backed Yes	47c	210$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.7	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes	43c	186$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.98	204	47.1%96 W · 108 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes	38c	136.84$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No	57c	134.88$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.5	342	51.8%177 W · 165 L	+21.9wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	76c	134.3$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.3	433	62.4%270 W · 163 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No	57c	127.35$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.76	79	68.4%54 W · 25 L	+8.4wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a3d…657dbacked Yes	80c	125$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7801…422bbacked Yes	44c	114.77$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-4.2wins	-0.21per pick	56cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes	44c	114.49$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	113	42.5%48 W · 65 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc037…6f38backed Yes	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Yes	44c	113.61$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes	43c	100.01$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	182	32.4%59 W · 123 L	-15.9wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No	58c	100$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	296	53%157 W · 139 L	-23.0wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No	58c	100$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.1	427	55%235 W · 192 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66db…7afbbacked Yes	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe534…bfafbacked Yes	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-4.2wins	-0.21per pick	56cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	57	26.3%15 W · 42 L	-6.6wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-38%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c60…45b8backed Yes	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.3	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed No	57c	99.98$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.99	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes	44c	90.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-3.0wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No	55c	83.78$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.7	402	54.7%220 W · 182 L	+14.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes	44c	82.29$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.21	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-5.5wins	-0.21per pick	56cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes	43c	81.4$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	229	32.3%74 W · 155 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe438…9471backed Yes	37c	81.08$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No	57c	71$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.53	466	60.5%282 W · 184 L	+30.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes	42c	70.93$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f3f…27d5backed No	60c	70$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes	43c	69.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca03…e878backed Yes	43c	69.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc00a…1a53backed Yes	43c	69.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	48cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed No	56c	56.85$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.01	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95e5…44d9backed Yes	44c	56.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85d3…fdfebacked Yes	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes	45c	55$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	330	36.1%119 W · 211 L	-22.2wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5670…b7e3backed Yes	42c	53.51$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.47	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3d…5bdfbacked Yes	44c	51.94$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50d2…0d35backed Yes	44c	50.77$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.34	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2399…2332backed Yes	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Yes	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f06…cd40backed Yes	43c	44.81$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.27	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe119…dce0backed Yes	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e65…ab28backed Yes	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.25per pick	59cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d86…6a3fbacked Yes	44c	40.91$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No	58c	40.46$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.1	401	35.2%141 W · 260 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked No	27c	40$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.2	119	15.1%18 W · 101 L	-10.4wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5591…49c5backed No	57c	39.54$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4af1…ef00backed No	70c	36.67$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes	43c	34.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-5.3wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b29…d0a8backed Yes	43c	34.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-65.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c54…99a4backed Yes	43c	34.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.6wins	-0.28per pick	51cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x95c8…9143backed Yes	44c	34.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1453…eac7backed Yes	44c	34.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-5.5wins	-0.22per pick	54cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9a6a…2e70backed Yes	41c	32.02$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a57…88acbacked Yes	44c	31.82$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4266…8546backed Yes	41c	31.73$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.01	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc89d…a3f3backed No	56c	31.58$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.81	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac7…972cbacked Yes	44c	31.11$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x871a…7be4backed Yes	44c	30.14$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.26	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes	43c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	217	63.6%138 W · 79 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21dd…d088backed No	58c	29.28$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.3	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e72…b811backed Yes	43c	28.71$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.35	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…5c69backed Yes	42c	28.56$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+22%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd8b…f655backed No	58c	28$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.76	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes	44c	27.07$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.91	155	54.8%85 W · 70 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e8…2881backed No	58c	26.69$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.21	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5138…1d4dbacked No	57c	26.32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.32	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1872…1962backed Yes	44c	25.84$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.37	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x008b…a3f7backed No	59c	25.81$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.58	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+71.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b9b…382abacked Yes	42c	25.44$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.69	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f95…3012backed No	57c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.75	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fee…dd87backed No	58c	23.48$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.86	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-30?this page
Will Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle end in a draw?Yes won
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-11-30?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-30?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event