Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0637c0171594f19feef688e7d2e8d70eb8f0c76383a5137bd03948899c93ecc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 73c | 887.5$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked No | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +40%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Yes | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 25c | 548.61$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.15 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x959e…0315backed No | 71c | 543.98$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ace5backed Yes | 29c | 536.28$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed No | 75c | 534.52$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.67 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes | 26c | 442.84$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed Yes | 28c | 282.4$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 30c | 256.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad0…dd38backed No | 71c | 232.52$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 72c | 222.22$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 29c | 221.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 25c | 210.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 70c | 172$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…c5fdbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed No | 71c | 166.22$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed No | 70c | 130.05$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 67c | 124.12$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 29c | 119.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12c…a8abbacked Yes | 30c | 96.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…e878backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…d433backed No | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc7…6187backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…ae82backed Yes | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 70c | 60.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Yes | 30c | 57.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb432…88e4backed No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…b112backed No | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 28c | 54.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…9e52backed No | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…61c0backed No | 75c | 46.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe208…2b30backed No | 70c | 37.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 70c | 36.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…9fd1backed No | 72c | 34.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…3215backed Yes | 31c | 33.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…3462backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…54dcbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-11-30?this page
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.