NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f586721b4f61939fac27d597ef63bfa85072209a2600538905b3d464182b852
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Mavericks, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Mavericks | 45c | 14,533$6,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,563.24 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Mavericks | 50c | 6,155$3,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,048.84 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Heat | 56c | 5,806$3,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.36 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Mavericks | 43c | 4,871$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.48 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Heat | 67c | 4,774$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.24 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Heat | 67c | 3,893$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.83 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Heat | 56c | 3,673$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.12 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79b…107abacked Mavericks | 29c | 3,523$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Heat | 67c | 3,087$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.69 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3669…3882backed Heat | 67c | 2,982$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Heat | 61c | 2,957$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.85 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…3e7ebacked Mavericks | 68c | 2,858$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Mavericks | 44c | 2,843$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Mavericks | 19c | 2,675$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.85 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 50c | 2,504$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Heat | 44c | 2,138$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.63 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Mavericks | 60c | 2,054$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.32 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…fcbabacked Heat | 55c | 1,941$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.45 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…fea3backed Mavericks | 44c | 1,941$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.28 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Mavericks | 31c | 1,662$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.35 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked Heat | 56c | 1,543$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Mavericks | 35c | 1,436$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.34 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Heat | 55c | 1,358$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.26 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Mavericks | 39c | 1,317$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.74 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Mavericks | 4c | 1,201$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Heat | 58c | 1,124$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.12 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Heat | 43c | 1,054$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.15 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Heat | 27c | 1,014$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.17 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Heat | 56c | 1,009$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.89 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1e…cee2backed Mavericks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Heat | 74c | 960.97$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.41 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Mavericks | 34c | 922$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.8 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Heat | 65c | 917.21$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.92 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Mavericks | 45c | 894.96$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Heat | 56c | 829.97$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.89 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc2…758bbacked Heat | 76c | 764.44$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.81 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 55c | 744.8$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.16 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Heat | 69c | 738.35$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.36 | 266 | 59%157 W · 109 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Heat | 69c | 737.77$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.78 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5853…fb3abacked Mavericks | 46c | 655.27$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…7433backed Mavericks | 54c | 645.9$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.51 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Mavericks | 27c | 610.46$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…32b4backed Heat | 58c | 570.41$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.42 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Mavericks | 39c | 522.03$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.02 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x577e…9c51backed Heat | 58c | 521.5$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Mavericks | 38c | 513.68$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Mavericks | 43c | 509$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.87 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Mavericks | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Mavericks | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Mavericks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Heat | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…4eacbacked Heat | 35c | 476$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.4 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Mavericks | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd085…ba5cbacked Mavericks | 4c | 440$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 54c | 429.35$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd889…cf51backed Heat | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Mavericks | 33c | 427.44$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.97 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Mavericks | 35c | 396.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Mavericks | 24c | 394$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Heat | 58c | 379.24$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.28 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Mavericks | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked Mavericks | 27c | 344.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 67c | 317.76$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b5…88bfbacked Heat | 38c | 308.8$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.46 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x452d…39fdbacked Mavericks | 33c | 303.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…8e0dbacked Heat | 65c | 303.56$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.79 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Heat | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mavericks | 41c | 299.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Mavericks | 42c | 258.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.61 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Heat | 64c | 232.87$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb48d…9f73backed Mavericks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Mavericks | 29c | 227.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed Mavericks | 40c | 226.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 178 | 34.8%62 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…5e2abacked Mavericks | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Heat | 68c | 218.94$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb82…2d99backed Mavericks | 77c | 208.51$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Mavericks | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Heat | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Heat | 55c | 199.71$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…b92abacked Mavericks | 47c | 194.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Heat | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…21d8backed Mavericks | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…6f56backed Mavericks | 38c | 168.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ec…194abacked Mavericks | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61c…1a04backed Mavericks | 33c | 158.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Mavericks | 40c | 156.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f2…1324backed Heat | 63c | 147.71$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Mavericks | 32c | 138.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3440…85e5backed Mavericks | 31c | 137.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Mavericks | 45c | 132.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eef…4a0ebacked Mavericks | 29c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Mavericks | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1eb…76febacked Heat | 54c | 124.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…f76dbacked Heat | 60c | 121.67$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…ee14backed Heat | 38c | 121.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Mavericks | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50a2…5152backed Mavericks | 34c | 118.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…7c06backed Heat | 64c | 115.63$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…1d77backed Heat | 58c | 115.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.