Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester win on 2024-12-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba6414fd96400d19bbe191a3745e99c9c0d3340b9a11e89f8d1bd3e499fef996
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 21c | 2,434$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 80c | 1,754$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.25 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Yes | 18c | 900.12$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.02 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…16b0backed Yes | 21c | 857.14$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 19c | 514.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 80c | 501.14$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.99 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked Yes | 11c | 469.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 464.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Yes | 15c | 401.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…0e7cbacked Yes | 10c | 390.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 21c | 299.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 79c | 275.61$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x179f…dd2bbacked Yes | 19c | 268.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Yes | 20c | 225$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 10c | 161.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…2e87backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…d230backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c128backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c1…301fbacked Yes | 21c | 105.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 20c | 104.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…6d8cbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 19c | 97.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 20c | 95.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…67a5backed Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4782…6435backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 80c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 59.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…5132backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa240…cb21backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac7…17c6backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 80c | 24.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc5…817ebacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester win on 2024-12-08?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2024-12-08?No won
- Will Leicester vs. Brighton end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.