TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton win on 2024-12-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,386
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,386 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8c4…7385backed No43c5,563$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,197.4332037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes59c4,955$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,913.6532158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95cd…32d0backed No41c2,877$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.285554.5%30 W · 25 L+10.6wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+60.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x8d52…94c4backed No41c2,500$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No1c2,468$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.057839.7%31 W · 47 L+15.6wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+437.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes57c2,414$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.9938649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes62c2,385$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.624062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…67c7backed Yes59c2,302$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+61.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed No9c1,843$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.831050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No34c1,799$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.579650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed No41c1,584$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.178362.7%52 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.987651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No1c1,485$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.8636954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed No1c1,460$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.6714062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed No9c1,429$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.144959.2%29 W · 20 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+41.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58017945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed No24c1,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7605131.4%16 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x451b…57d8backed Yes60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No42c931.37$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.1922050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Yes60c912.7$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.624252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No43c857.97$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.0968026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a2a…9146backed No41c750$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.51266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes73c662$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.869772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7705…a627backed No40c640.81$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.481643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes57c587.99$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.154742.6%20 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No13c465.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.3766031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed No44c409.09$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.093240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed No56c407.88$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.812149.6%60 W · 61 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed No44c366.52$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.285550.9%28 W · 27 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e97…b339backed No44c338.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.863145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed No43c305.01$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.852157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed No43c297.23$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.529037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No41c293$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.947967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes57c266.79$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4740254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x578a…ef44backed Yes59c257.41$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.872536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508633.7%29 W · 57 L-14.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes55c250.8$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9415337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58ca…cc33backed No30c250$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked No41c244.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.164332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed No42c242.62$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.725345.3%24 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No45c220.52$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.294963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Yes79c210$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.754757.4%27 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked No19c200$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16311915.1%18 W · 101 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed No45c179.59$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.835641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20bf…c9debacked Yes59c164.41$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x488e…35ddbacked No42c164.29$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.293100%3 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+271.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed Yes57c160.98$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4416953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.59949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60bf…a195backed Yes58c146.03$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff94…dd72backed No42c146$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No41c135.47$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4440135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes57c132.37$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6129643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76f3…e34fbacked Yes79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe438…9471backed Yes57c105.18$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602030%6 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-45.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb9a…79bbbacked No42c100.02$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c64…1d7abacked Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+76.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb227…3601backed Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+27.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x08d5…60bcbacked Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01dc…475cbacked No44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5718232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2502…0642backed Yes56c92.12$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed51…9147backed Yes59c89.37$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.731735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x520f…2094backed No43c84.26$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59e0…f1aabacked Yes57c80.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c8b…1e57backed No43c76.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf814…9951backed No43c76.44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+56.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7464…7b74backed No43c74.31$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed No42c72.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.364663%29 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No40c68.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Yes60c68.1$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.861540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64aa…ff9abacked Yes57c65.21$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.16616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick60cpaid-71.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf75a…bb20backed Yes56c61.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.846660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6565…124dbacked No42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.521050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe3c…750bbacked Yes60c58.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes56c56.62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7114854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62a7…0b44backed Yes57c55.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Yes57c50.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920059.5%119 W · 81 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ff…8018backed No46c50.59$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.33580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+56.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd156…fc77backed Yes59c50.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-47.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed No42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x538a…bd78backed Yes56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bcf…b69cbacked Yes57c49.81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db4…88b9backed No44c49.57$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5272…f0afbacked Yes59c49.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293542.9%15 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x602c…7da0backed No41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.786159%36 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed No42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.621947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5047…9d2abacked Yes57c45.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.05425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc16…9a18backed Yes57c45.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1130%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49cc…62f6backed Yes57c44.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x599a…897cbacked No42c43.93$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+64.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9160…dfe2backed No43c41.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a6e…688ebacked No44c40.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1df…b405backed Yes58c40.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd91a…96b7backed No41c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c53…4e58backed Yes57c39.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.67425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x909f…e6c5backed No42c39.39$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.85580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+37.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.