TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$265,725
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$291,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,725 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Knicks78c37,693$29,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,459.1415056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Hornets26c24,658$6,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,413.656744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b45…ea09backed Hornets24c19,000$4,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5203727%10 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Knicks74c13,166$9,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,414.3349849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets20c12,000$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,429.991,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Knicks74c7,650$5,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,972.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Hornets21c6,601$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.218129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Knicks79c6,354$4,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.0576249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Knicks75c5,913$4,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.881,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Hornets15c4,700$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68846131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Hornets17c4,231$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.598417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets15c4,010$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Hornets27c3,991$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.1930443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Knicks75c3,520$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.984452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Hornets28c3,498$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.4423548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e44…79c9backed Hornets14c3,480$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.213540%14 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Knicks60c3,353$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.6165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Knicks80c3,335$2,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.0572241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda7…fc55backed Hornets23c3,235$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.83714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-76.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Hornets17c3,002$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.2922832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f0…974dbacked Hornets37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Hornets16c2,510$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.431125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac6…a6cebacked Hornets15c2,180$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3272536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Hornets29c2,082$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae22…4bb7backed Hornets15c2,003$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.52839.3%11 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe214…fcbabacked Hornets14c1,977$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.772055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Hornets17c1,973$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.0119642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hornets5c1,760$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.61,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Hornets14c1,579$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22111428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eed…0c9abacked Hornets17c1,473$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.41435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Hornets24c1,333$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31445135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets12c1,300$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1581,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Hornets25c1,174$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.4336748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Hornets16c1,170$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.416242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Hornets14c1,141$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.1325833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4624…0a84backed Hornets15c1,049$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.33944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x624f…2fa6backed Knicks78c1,029$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.345536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets40c1,017$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.341,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets16c1,005$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.881,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hornets15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33dc…9661backed Hornets20c999.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028658.1%50 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…11cdbacked Hornets13c999.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa98c…acb2backed Hornets14c991.01$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.743132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Hornets17c966.03$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9411926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ded…5d66backed Knicks73c958.91$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.392462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa715…15e2backed Hornets18c911.19$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.683619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Hornets16c840$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.27545.3%34 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e8…e81fbacked Hornets16c836.22$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.66837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa586…86f5backed Hornets21c830.75$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.782123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Knicks50c778.39$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.210546.7%49 W · 56 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Hornets17c730.11$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6427735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets25c722.65$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.051,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed80…d0dabacked Hornets28c711.89$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.331040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb13…1918backed Hornets22c699.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb1…73eebacked Hornets13c699.95$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.99825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc292…df91backed Hornets14c671.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae8…a9c3backed Hornets16c623.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Hornets14c618.82$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6672341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3e7…a536backed Hornets15c604.32$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.655933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Knicks76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1444656.5%26 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79ed…d8b1backed Hornets2c586.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.432810.7%3 W · 25 L-6.2wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-76.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Hornets25c580$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14537627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3068…7d29backed Hornets28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b46…debdbacked Knicks76c524.5$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Hornets24c516.38$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6327939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Hornets20c440$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8816617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x188d…6583backed Hornets23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005038%19 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+25.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hornets12c415.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.91,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaba0…6d01backed Hornets51c403.99$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.681457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c4…b7a9backed Hornets16c400$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49fd…d190backed Hornets18c400$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704030%12 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddbf…b1b3backed Knicks73c398.27$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.531145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Hornets17c373.25$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4531347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6099…bae1backed Hornets14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502035%7 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0b…22d7backed Hornets26c352.24$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Hornets22c349.95$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4920233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2c…7017backed Hornets29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa22…c275backed Hornets15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-84.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b6a…4873backed Hornets30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Knicks78c333$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2617846.1%82 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…d15ebacked Knicks78c320.92$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.927558.7%44 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbccb…a425backed Hornets42c307.09$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.32728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-52.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe70a…6de8backed Knicks75c294.26$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.638460.7%51 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5a1…cde2backed Hornets4c270.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-62.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1de9…280dbacked Hornets6c265.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a6…5ceebacked Hornets14c260.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Knicks73c258.08$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5329043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3c…45d3backed Hornets26c241.5$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe38…1f16backed Hornets18c238.64$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.284126.8%11 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c31…5f1bbacked Hornets21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2938…4a43backed Hornets14c233.68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.72425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Knicks77c231.84$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.841,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ed6…c07fbacked Hornets5c230$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Hornets22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66db…7afbbacked Hornets14c216.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30387.9%3 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-75.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26ea…6f18backed Hornets14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305438.9%21 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd66c…9056backed Hornets14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302532%8 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf59c…115bbacked Knicks74c212$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.121040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Knicks68c205.69$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9211834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Knicks73c201.35$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.