NFL · resolved market
Raiders vs. Chiefs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfc11a81f866efef752fd6a3d49f7f8282ba6bb15b254a9451ec39c6ed466b21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chiefsof Raiders, Chiefs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $692,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $709,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $692,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Raiders | 15c | 82,124$12,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,635.7 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Raiders | 12c | 50,256$5,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,956.85 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Raiders | 11c | 35,581$3,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,877.52 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Raiders | 11c | 35,123$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.66 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Raiders | 13c | 30,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.99 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Raiders | 3c | 28,186$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.51 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…1ad2backed Chiefs | 74c | 12,343$9,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.91 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Raiders | 13c | 12,005$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.59 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…2222backed Raiders | 10c | 8,789$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Raiders | 12c | 8,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Raiders | 13c | 8,113$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.82 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Raiders | 12c | 7,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.99 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Raiders | 30c | 7,283$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.89 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…a35bbacked Raiders | 14c | 7,025$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.76 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raiders | 12c | 7,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raiders | 2c | 6,245$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795c…d2eabacked Raiders | 2c | 5,661$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Raiders | 53c | 5,505$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900.88 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Raiders | 3c | 5,324$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.93 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked Raiders | 19c | 4,600$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.07 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Raiders | 12c | 4,567$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.77 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3d…50f3backed Raiders | 13c | 4,385$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Raiders | 3c | 4,333$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Raiders | 12c | 4,089$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.65 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…15e2backed Raiders | 4c | 4,056$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.91 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Raiders | 18c | 3,893$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.79 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Chiefs | 80c | 3,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.34 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raiders | 14c | 3,371$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.57 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…bb6bbacked Raiders | 13c | 3,001$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…a6cebacked Raiders | 13c | 2,969$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07a3…d687backed Chiefs | 77c | 2,800$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.49 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Raiders | 18c | 2,580$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.86 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd7…547dbacked Chiefs | 66c | 2,546$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Raiders | 11c | 2,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Raiders | 12c | 2,485$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.19 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raiders | 10c | 2,313$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.82 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…22f4backed Raiders | 18c | 2,252$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Raiders | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Chiefs | 71c | 2,098$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.9 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Raiders | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa98c…acb2backed Raiders | 10c | 1,912$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.82 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…e7fcbacked Chiefs | 74c | 1,822$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.32 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Raiders | 33c | 1,766$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.3 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Raiders | 11c | 1,622$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.39 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Raiders | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Chiefs | 68c | 1,425$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.34 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Chiefs | 70c | 1,417$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.65 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Raiders | 13c | 1,415$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.08 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Raiders | 14c | 1,385$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.39 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5321…223cbacked Raiders | 16c | 1,252$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Raiders | 12c | 1,250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.3 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Raiders | 21c | 1,201$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.58 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…79fbbacked Raiders | 13c | 1,185$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Raiders | 9c | 1,100$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Raiders | 13c | 1,075$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.71 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Raiders | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Raiders | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb7…a2c9backed Raiders | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…58f0backed Raiders | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…7b9bbacked Raiders | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Raiders | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af0…77ebbacked Raiders | 12c | 999.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Raiders | 12c | 977$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.24 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Raiders | 6c | 964.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc49…174ebacked Raiders | 7c | 947.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raiders | 11c | 923.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.13 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…df8abacked Raiders | 32c | 900$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Raiders | 22c | 872.42$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.58 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Raiders | 5c | 799.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Raiders | 13c | 770$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.1wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Raiders | 28c | 750$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.12 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Chiefs | 61c | 700$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Raiders | 30c | 668.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Raiders | 22c | 622.47$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cb…1ea1backed Chiefs | 73c | 589.97$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Chiefs | 77c | 541.86$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 173 | 59%102 W · 71 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Raiders | 13c | 529.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x552b…4bd3backed Raiders | 31c | 512.69$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.74 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3dc…581fbacked Raiders | 15c | 502.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd929…5bbebacked Raiders | 13c | 499.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Raiders | 13c | 441.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Raiders | 36c | 429.78$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.72 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd28…37a1backed Chiefs | 73c | 420.59$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Raiders | 12c | 409.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Raiders | 13c | 408.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Raiders | 11c | 407.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d0…034abacked Raiders | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae11…ff1bbacked Chiefs | 68c | 391.76$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.91 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Chiefs | 77c | 385.6$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…aed7backed Raiders | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Chiefs | 74c | 377.76$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.22 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba2…6151backed Raiders | 6c | 362$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Raiders | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40df…ea9abacked Raiders | 7c | 350$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Chiefs | 69c | 347.7$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 254 | 53.9%137 W · 117 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Chiefs | 70c | 320$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Chiefs | 79c | 285$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62d3…6d42backed Raiders | 38c | 269.69$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa586…86f5backed Raiders | 12c | 267$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…6bf0backed Raiders | 32c | 261.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.