Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2610270667f42e7f7c006a28d6cfa01ac9e0214c481df706560cb6dc0de9c25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Yes | 46c | 24,568$11,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,290.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 54c | 23,111$12,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,631.27 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 54c | 11,133$6,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,098.16 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 55c | 10,199$5,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,557.77 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 45c | 8,320$3,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,743.91 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 54c | 7,240$3,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.27 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 70c | 6,536$4,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.52 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e9…9507backed No | 62c | 3,630$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 46c | 3,343$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.61 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…6cbfbacked Yes | 45c | 3,059$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…3601backed Yes | 46c | 2,994$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…475cbacked Yes | 47c | 2,953$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…ae05backed Yes | 47c | 2,682$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 45c | 2,578$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Yes | 46c | 2,399$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Yes | 21c | 2,380$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,201$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.48 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…8f07backed Yes | 47c | 2,159$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 55c | 2,090$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.5 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed No | 54c | 1,948$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.08 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…12f8backed Yes | 46c | 1,702$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Yes | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…4693backed Yes | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ee…40b8backed Yes | 8c | 1,300$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 46c | 1,269$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.04 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked No | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5efc…9b2abacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed No | 54c | 999.95$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.98 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…69b2backed Yes | 45c | 972.1$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.31 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked No | 56c | 866$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.7 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 13c | 836.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4a…d59fbacked Yes | 23c | 775.87$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 75c | 740.25$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.53 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 55c | 729$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.05 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…efefbacked Yes | 44c | 729$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 55c | 704$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.88 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 55c | 704$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.88 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 17c | 700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…529bbacked Yes | 45c | 692.43$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.76 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Yes | 45c | 652.36$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.09 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 44c | 600.67$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.31 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 46c | 543.43$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 29c | 509.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.2 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked No | 75c | 500.22$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked No | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…2683backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 54c | 463$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.98 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Yes | 46c | 423.91$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 54c | 419.47$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.94 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed No | 53c | 414.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.04 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed No | 56c | 401.79$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.79 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 27c | 387.22$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 39c | 380$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.7 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…38e7backed Yes | 47c | 352.62$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…e364backed Yes | 45c | 340.89$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes | 42c | 324.36$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 313.77$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 44c | 308.59$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed No | 54c | 299.99$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 45c | 296.96$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.8 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0402…51d9backed Yes | 24c | 276.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…5c09backed No | 55c | 269.09$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Yes | 45c | 264.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes | 29c | 261.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 78c | 250$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 61c | 244.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 74c | 234.36$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…3d69backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…8e18backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2774…07dfbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…3c9cbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…eef7backed Yes | 46c | 216.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 12c | 215$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af6…768bbacked Yes | 23c | 213.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…1b90backed Yes | 46c | 206.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…2d6bbacked No | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed No | 54c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbc…bb1abacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Yes | 45c | 199$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…53f2backed No | 56c | 194.79$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 54c | 192.59$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…f1e8backed Yes | 27c | 183.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 28c | 179.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 55c | 163.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 20c | 157.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5601…077bbacked Yes | 46c | 156.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dca…2978backed Yes | 45c | 152.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1636…8c6abacked Yes | 45c | 152.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 46c | 152.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-21?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
- Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.