Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55b5669572f467800c6c495448d231fdd37f13b6a072b7c2eeb2d1a6daeff98a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed No | 39c | 12,361$4,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,820.98 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed No | 1c | 10,889$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 69c | 10,289$7,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,095.46 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Yes | 32c | 9,056$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,144.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 61c | 8,143$4,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,195.96 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 69c | 7,354$5,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,098.96 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e9…9507backed No | 27c | 4,909$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes | 31c | 3,924$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.76 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 67c | 3,777$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.46 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 47c | 3,764$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.45 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 69c | 3,391$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.49 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x330c…2371backed Yes | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…475cbacked Yes | 31c | 2,908$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 57c | 2,690$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.5 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…8f07backed No | 49c | 2,046$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.98 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 57c | 1,991$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.05 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 62c | 1,706$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.33 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf719…987abacked Yes | 59c | 1,692$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8e…014bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 63c | 1,627$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.16 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.62 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…673abacked No | 3c | 1,547$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc725…34e7backed No | 70c | 1,520$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 69c | 1,500$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.93 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 75c | 1,478$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.3 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed No | 71c | 1,337$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.01 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed No | 41c | 1,252$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.39 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 30c | 1,117$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.46 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Yes | 30c | 1,067$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.83 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb680…c893backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…adddbacked Yes | 29c | 999.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0583…054dbacked Yes | 30c | 994.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.93 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc133…bdf0backed No | 68c | 879.28$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 59c | 849.8$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 71c | 842.18$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked Yes | 68c | 821.56$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.9 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 31c | 763.66$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.41 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 51c | 762$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.18 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed No | 69c | 725.21$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed No | 71c | 707.5$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.75 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Yes | 50c | 661.72$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…f1e8backed Yes | 33c | 598.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed No | 71c | 596$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.35 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed No | 29c | 581.56$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.46 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44ee…68f3backed No | 70c | 530$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 69c | 499.97$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.98 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 30c | 493.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.31 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…0e4abacked Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 70c | 472.87$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.01 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed No | 67c | 431.35$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…4f39backed Yes | 31c | 420.48$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.65 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 30c | 420$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…8efbbacked Yes | 31c | 419.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.35 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed No | 72c | 418.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 44c | 404.21$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.81 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes | 30c | 394.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.49 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 68c | 340$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…68acbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a6…61ffbacked No | 47c | 321.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…ad08backed No | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffb…9801backed No | 70c | 316.02$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 69cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4aa…d7c8backed Yes | 32c | 314.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 48c | 312.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.07 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x728f…11ecbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 28c | 299.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…cd31backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…0ab3backed Yes | 68c | 284.56$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -79%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 69c | 281$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.82 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 69c | 280.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.82 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…004dbacked No | 70c | 274.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 32c | 273.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 29c | 267.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.74 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 70c | 248.55$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 71c | 220$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.2 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…6415backed Yes | 30c | 219.7$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.79 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 60c | 210.34$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 39c | 201.61$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.61 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed No | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf1…384dbacked Yes | 30c | 190.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 25c | 170$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…51d0backed No | 71c | 170$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…b756backed Yes | 50c | 169.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…b055backed Yes | 54c | 169.22$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ee…40b8backed No | 12c | 162.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe4…1996backed Yes | 49c | 157.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 70c | 157$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb245…da75backed Yes | 77c | 154.53$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x028f…c9cbbacked Yes | 59c | 149.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked No | 48c | 146.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 30c | 141.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…b28abacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-21?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.