NFL · resolved market
Vikings vs. Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa72afb51b2d8bc99b7462b5dca3598ea5e9c7d7f425548590331c7c165c997f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vikingsof Vikings, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $563,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $595,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 415 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Bears | 1c | 48,125$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Bears | 9c | 35,366$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,224.21 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Bears | 20c | 34,396$7,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,031.11 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bears | 40c | 30,120$12,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,032.03 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Bears | 19c | 30,000$5,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,698.08 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…ed42backed Bears | 5c | 25,947$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.35 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Vikings | 60c | 24,103$14,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600.14 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Bears | 40c | 22,244$8,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,814.64 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Vikings | 61c | 17,450$10,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,805.33 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bears | 39c | 15,114$5,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,928.44 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Vikings | 72c | 13,782$9,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.06 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Vikings | 60c | 12,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.7wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Bears | 7c | 11,483$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Bears | 30c | 10,367$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.38 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…4125backed Bears | 38c | 9,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.99 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Vikings | 59c | 6,545$3,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.39 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Vikings | 55c | 6,324$3,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.98 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2e03backed Bears | 42c | 6,222$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bears | 29c | 5,822$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.41 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Vikings | 61c | 5,451$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.67 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Bears | 27c | 4,431$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.7 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Bears | 31c | 4,153$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bears | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Bears | 5c | 3,898$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.93 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Bears | 36c | 3,744$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.73 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Bears | 39c | 3,548$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.17 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Bears | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Vikings | 63c | 3,187$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.13 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Vikings | 69c | 2,809$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.69 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Vikings | 73c | 2,413$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.44 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bears | 3c | 2,240$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Vikings | 55c | 2,236$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.06 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Vikings | 62c | 1,808$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Bears | 37c | 1,796$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.26 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Vikings | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Vikings | 64c | 1,599$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.72 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…0cedbacked Vikings | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe1…5677backed Vikings | 74c | 1,543$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.43 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Vikings | 63c | 1,515$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.38 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Vikings | 48c | 1,300$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Vikings | 62c | 1,298$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.29 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Bears | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x552b…4bd3backed Vikings | 44c | 1,103$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.83 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…b372backed Bears | 8c | 1,100$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Vikings | 59c | 1,010$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.99 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Bears | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Vikings | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked Bears | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Bears | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bears | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Vikings | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Vikings | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Vikings | 61c | 999.89$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.96 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf79b…107abacked Bears | 30c | 916.67$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Bears | 3c | 901.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Vikings | 62c | 832.54$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.6 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bears | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Vikings | 60c | 795$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.42 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Vikings | 63c | 782.21$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.42 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Bears | 57c | 760.46$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.46 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…ec35backed Bears | 27c | 740$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Bears | 38c | 702.63$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…2c30backed Bears | 20c | 699.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…b4e0backed Bears | 38c | 699.98$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Vikings | 62c | 676.25$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.98 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…136fbacked Vikings | 61c | 669.66$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Bears | 29c | 659.15$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.9 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Bears | 47c | 637.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Vikings | 64c | 635.9$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.14 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Vikings | 61c | 612.52$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.88 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Vikings | 61c | 600.03$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.01 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Bears | 38c | 583$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.54 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked Vikings | 46c | 552.22$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Vikings | 61c | 520.1$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.38 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0886backed Bears | 25c | 502.82$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…0c53backed Bears | 48c | 502.42$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vikings | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Vikings | 52c | 495.82$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.82 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe799…3d4dbacked Vikings | 62c | 481.02$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.79 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Vikings | 49c | 465.71$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.16 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49a7…2261backed Vikings | 78c | 452.75$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…33ccbacked Vikings | 63c | 412.7$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…b797backed Vikings | 62c | 409.29$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64cc…ad9dbacked Vikings | 62c | 408$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.04 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Vikings | 71c | 405.74$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.81 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Vikings | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Vikings | 77c | 401.45$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…076abacked Vikings | 63c | 395.15$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Bears | 38c | 385.6$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.53 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…ba38backed Vikings | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Bears | 37c | 366.19$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.49 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…0a83backed Bears | 39c | 360.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Vikings | 62c | 349.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Vikings | 77c | 343.59$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x946a…18e1backed Vikings | 62c | 328.24$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…025bbacked Vikings | 65c | 327.65$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…9d12backed Bears | 14c | 320$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Vikings | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Bears | 31c | 313.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…b4b0backed Vikings | 63c | 310$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.