TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Trail Blazers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Kings, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$341,417
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$337,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,417 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked Trail Blazers33c224,959$74,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149,975.649248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Kings60c62,099$36,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,987.1919350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings69c58,049$40,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,068.265642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Kings69c52,457$36,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,003.2915056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc0…53ddbacked Trail Blazers31c22,553$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,553.085457.4%31 W · 23 L+13.2wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+76.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x0766…3e65backed Kings0c15,060$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.062623.1%6 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Kings68c14,778$10,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,076.6826547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Kings40c12,405$5,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,006.8761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings71c12,000$8,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,519.9549849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kings1c9,125$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.811,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Kings69c6,942$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.8833752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kings71c6,727$4,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,753.8170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings68c6,298$4,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,264.171,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3195…a94fbacked Kings69c5,000$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,450850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c02…25e4backed Kings73c4,855$3,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,544.310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings67c3,776$2,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,522.121,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Kings69c3,333$2,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,288.6614233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Kings71c2,798$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007149.3%35 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers29c2,600$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8461,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers28c2,400$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.9946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Kings71c2,196$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.886167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Kings72c2,091$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.537354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28fd…dc50backed Kings72c1,889$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Kings45c1,723$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.279724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Trail Blazers29c1,600$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.9923548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Kings69c1,501$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.6429043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Kings71c1,200$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.2737627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings71c1,119$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.281,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Kings66c1,050$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69150047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Kings70c1,011$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.831573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers28c999.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.991,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Trail Blazers35c999.97$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.9829148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Trail Blazers36c992.73$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.4285347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Trail Blazers27c930.08$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.9419642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Kings71c900$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6397549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Trail Blazers29c900$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6398442.9%36 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Trail Blazers28c808.54$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.1516242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Kings71c697.57$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.2728063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Kings53c695.13$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.0637831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3483…cdabbacked Kings72c691.67$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4981060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Trail Blazers29c687.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.9127735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3e7…a536backed Trail Blazers34c600$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3965933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17c…e8c3backed Kings71c600$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd52c…4125backed Kings69c599.6$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.811435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Kings70c517.58$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.5519943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4884…9cf8backed Trail Blazers32c487.5$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.54341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf784…f897backed Trail Blazers75c469.17$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.29785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers27c466.81$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.771,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf33…4eacbacked Kings13c399.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526426.6%17 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Trail Blazers31c399.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.9911143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed Trail Blazers80c371.77$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.358229.3%24 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Trail Blazers30c350$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24510243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb66a…ac39backed Kings66c337.58$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.8650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x581c…7f94backed Kings4c329.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.458144.4%36 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Trail Blazers31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5811428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Trail Blazers35c311.85$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.351,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…91e3backed Kings34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70a…6de8backed Kings71c296$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.348460.7%51 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Kings68c290$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2617244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x984d…f8eabacked Kings43c267.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.231711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid+35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c56…dfa1backed Kings12c251.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.232425%6 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Kings20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc82…62a2backed Trail Blazers38c237.04$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings62c224.94$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.466,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Trail Blazers54c201.8$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.830954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Kings71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14248137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Kings64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12825651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de8…cfb9backed Kings57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11410236.3%37 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95e5…44d9backed Trail Blazers30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14010051%51 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Trail Blazers33c199.97$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9820233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79aa…62f9backed Kings66c185.14$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f95…3012backed Kings70c171.09$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207042.9%30 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Trail Blazers30c168.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.510921.1%23 W · 86 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Trail Blazers33c163.64$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6438132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Kings35c160$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.477437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kings65c154.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4185542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f46…255ebacked Kings66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Kings71c150$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.56768.7%46 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2df2…29cebacked Kings14c148.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…33ccbacked Trail Blazers76c144.74$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.743259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…6e0ebacked Kings70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Trail Blazers50c140.34$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6916345.4%74 W · 89 L-14.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xef04…88c3backed Trail Blazers30c140$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Kings64c139.56$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3226933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Kings69c137.97$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7911235.7%40 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14d7…774ebacked Trail Blazers33c135$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.255839.7%23 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Trail Blazers35c134.29$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2965218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd6…d874backed Kings54c122.96$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.47650%38 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Kings53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6035734.5%123 W · 234 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Kings62c112.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5115234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kings72c111.11$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8068642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb9…33cbbacked Kings71c106.28$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.471275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings65c102.63$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48a8…04e0backed Trail Blazers38c100.37$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.281060%6 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+37.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e8b…4f21backed Kings65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6512841.4%53 W · 75 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7789…6f26backed Trail Blazers30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b39…eeaabacked Kings53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1166…94acbacked Trail Blazers46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Trail Blazers36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.524147.3%114 W · 127 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.