NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35416ab95b1c1a951b85300d57d82faa2ef092d5fe701047319aca79c9f1205e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Thunder, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Rockets | 49c | 45,064$22,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,009.82 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Thunder | 32c | 14,507$4,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,697.22 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2d…569cbacked Thunder | 75c | 11,427$8,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,571.59 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Thunder | 79c | 7,879$6,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,190.6 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Rockets | 32c | 6,360$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,310.12 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets | 36c | 5,398$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.01 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Rockets | 44c | 4,908$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.23 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b806backed Rockets | 48c | 4,201$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Thunder | 27c | 3,849$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.5 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 54c | 3,475$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.48 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Thunder | 38c | 3,322$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.48 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Thunder | 76c | 2,713$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.16 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Thunder | 66c | 2,638$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.79 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Rockets | 62c | 2,604$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.45 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,178$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.93 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…33ccbacked Thunder | 61c | 2,147$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Thunder | 50c | 2,000$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.67 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Rockets | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.98 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Rockets | 57c | 1,765$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.87 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Thunder | 60c | 1,667$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.77 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3b…5cefbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,644$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets | 45c | 1,631$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.91 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Thunder | 46c | 1,559$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.6 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…9f7ebacked Thunder | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Rockets | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.15 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…ba26backed Rockets | 33c | 1,336$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.53 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Rockets | 61c | 1,244$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.85 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b3…9a19backed Thunder | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…96f7backed Rockets | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…f2a5backed Thunder | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Rockets | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Thunder | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Thunder | 52c | 983.65$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.5 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Rockets | 46c | 980.34$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.38 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Thunder | 69c | 963.84$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.47 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…32b4backed Rockets | 40c | 950$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.12 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Rockets | 46c | 929.95$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.17 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Thunder | 77c | 860.46$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.89 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Thunder | 51c | 831.41$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 48c | 799.99$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…bb26backed Thunder | 54c | 781.48$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Thunder | 48c | 676.79$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.86 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Thunder | 53c | 646.98$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…41a9backed Rockets | 41c | 614.45$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rockets | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Thunder | 52c | 513$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.76 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Rockets | 57c | 512.33$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.2 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Thunder | 28c | 499.96$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.44 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Thunder | 43c | 473.3$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.52 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Thunder | 54c | 466.09$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273b…e2b0backed Thunder | 46c | 438.88$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Rockets | 37c | 424.32$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.32 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…e033backed Thunder | 62c | 420.2$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdd…a15abacked Rockets | 48c | 416.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Rockets | 52c | 411.86$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.8 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Thunder | 75c | 402.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…b6ccbacked Rockets | 36c | 379.43$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Thunder | 60c | 338.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.58 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Thunder | 48c | 306$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.76 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 23c | 300$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Thunder | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Thunder | 31c | 300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Rockets | 33c | 299.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.97 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Thunder | 42c | 297.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Thunder | 76c | 270.93$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.57 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Thunder | 49c | 269.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.88 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Rockets | 47c | 261$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.69 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 46c | 255.8$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.49 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Thunder | 53c | 254.35$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.81 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Rockets | 37c | 254.04$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.05 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…54bbbacked Thunder | 55c | 253.84$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Thunder | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Thunder | 55c | 246.45$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca9…cdd3backed Thunder | 54c | 237$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Rockets | 26c | 234.72$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.67 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Thunder | 45c | 229.9$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Rockets | 46c | 221.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.87 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…53b3backed Rockets | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f34…cfafbacked Rockets | 33c | 217.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.55 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…32e3backed Rockets | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Rockets | 46c | 216$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…6f56backed Rockets | 50c | 215.64$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33b5…88bfbacked Thunder | 70c | 215.35$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.79 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Rockets | 28c | 215.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.43 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…2c0ebacked Rockets | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x388f…1779backed Thunder | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6d…81c2backed Rockets | 38c | 202.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…af06backed Rockets | 29c | 200.66$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.62 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Thunder | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab03…fae5backed Thunder | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Rockets | 48c | 199$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4e95backed Thunder | 53c | 191.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Thunder | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadab…2f80backed Thunder | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Rockets | 20c | 180.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.41 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Rockets | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…5e2abacked Rockets | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed Thunder | 60c | 165.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Thunder | 31c | 161.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.