TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Patriots vs. Dolphins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dolphinsof Patriots, Dolphins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,708
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,708 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb0c1…1b90backed Patriots0c6,233$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.74316.3%7 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-59.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3f84backed Dolphins77c4,224$3,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.686950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Patriots14c3,895$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.277627.6%21 W · 55 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2712…0f61backed Patriots24c3,400$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.9630%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Dolphins78c2,823$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.9836246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Dolphins77c2,588$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.814763.9%94 W · 53 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e8b…4f21backed Patriots13c2,456$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.254660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+23.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4023…ee68backed Patriots9c2,445$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.4930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Patriots22c2,396$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52221713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Patriots6c2,013$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5833328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Patriots24c1,803$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.753764.9%24 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe661…3cffbacked Patriots26c1,545$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.721216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Dolphins74c1,510$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.6144246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed Dolphins77c1,502$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.661947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Patriots24c1,300$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3124226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Patriots23c1,100$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.9910624.5%26 W · 80 L-12.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-40.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Patriots23c1,096$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.0239242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Dolphins76c1,081$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.5728556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa34e…895ebacked Patriots23c1,018$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Dolphins76c999.98$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.996157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Dolphins75c977.13$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.283953.8%21 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Patriots7c757.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508921.3%19 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Dolphins76c751$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.2427339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Patriots5c750$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.511821.2%25 W · 93 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedaa…2f33backed Patriots11c642.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Patriots31c640.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005250%26 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Dolphins75c594.67$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.671540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…44c6backed Patriots24c583.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Patriots4c538$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.94311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df6…34f3backed Patriots23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd74b…a21dbacked Patriots22c499.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed Patriots11c487.33$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.12254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Patriots24c450$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1086518.5%12 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-50.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…33ccbacked Dolphins78c448.72$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Dolphins77c432.9$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.573652.8%19 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa987…365fbacked Patriots24c420.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d46…3bffbacked Patriots5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-48.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Patriots23c377.05$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5110738.3%41 W · 66 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Patriots5c354.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.651128%9 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+413.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ce…e4dabacked Patriots30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Patriots5c331.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3352828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Patriots24c312.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Patriots24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7229356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Patriots23c286.27$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.845848.3%28 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2a3…8c00backed Dolphins76c270$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5220…4e88backed Patriots16c259.9$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.869729.9%29 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Dolphins77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7413655.9%76 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Patriots22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff50…de6fbacked Patriots23c249.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.52236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Dolphins75c233.21$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.35530.9%17 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Patriots25c220$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5514537.2%54 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Patriots23c220$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.61163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7544…cd95backed Dolphins77c212.9$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc828…8304backed Patriots24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95e5…44d9backed Patriots24c207.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Patriots22c206.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.044420.5%9 W · 35 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-40.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1fe5…500fbacked Patriots25c202.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c3…0b5ebacked Dolphins75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Patriots6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ef6…eb68backed Patriots25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacd…a4d5backed Patriots25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eb8…9231backed Patriots25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb173…ed42backed Patriots26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503112.9%4 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-54.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Dolphins74c186.73$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5516259.9%97 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb75e…5af4backed Dolphins75c177.72$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.43966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb1…f7eebacked Patriots18c171.14$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.411127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b14…64bcbacked Patriots24c170.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf80…554bbacked Patriots23c170$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-60%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a12…e9c0backed Patriots24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b05…d173backed Dolphins76c160$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.41050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96c0…6fa6backed Dolphins77c154.61$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.564100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fa5…4dc8backed Patriots24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-34.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64c6…8f19backed Dolphins76c149.98$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362075%15 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb63b…0db2backed Dolphins77c142.29$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.733100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…1de4backed Patriots10c140$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41147.9%9 W · 105 L-10.2wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-62.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c0e…1411backed Dolphins77c140$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.23831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Dolphins79c132.9$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.910768.2%73 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf59f…3be9backed Dolphins77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.872853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Dolphins77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.877177.5%55 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Dolphins77c127.96$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4313260.6%80 W · 52 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe438…9471backed Dolphins78c123.07$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.095444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb611…7e08backed Patriots23c123$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbecd…a109backed Dolphins77c123$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Patriots22c116.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5820736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf5…c7d5backed Dolphins75c107.39$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.91369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81d7…1957backed Dolphins78c106.17$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Patriots24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e20…f3e7backed Patriots24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252540%10 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Patriots24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252425%6 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…f37fbacked Patriots26c101.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd569…f098backed Dolphins77c101$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28f0…1b45backed Dolphins76c101$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.242263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa4a…f663backed Patriots23c101$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c4…490ebacked Dolphins77c100.52$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5211673.3%85 W · 31 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Patriots10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Dolphins77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238760.9%53 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Patriots22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210842.6%46 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x177e…a572backed Dolphins75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259268.5%63 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77f9…7139backed Patriots23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2370%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaa0…b1f7backed Patriots24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.