TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Mavericks, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,134
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,134 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz28c9,479$2,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,697.581,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Jazz13c7,597$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.23345.5%15 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+3.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Mavericks75c5,017$3,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.11,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Jazz24c4,461$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.8113920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Mavericks76c4,401$3,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.6349849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Jazz14c3,917$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.3661532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jazz12c3,836$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.2665642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d28…bb26backed Jazz26c3,743$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.73745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Jazz7c3,499$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9316617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Jazz15c3,226$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.211459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Jazz30c2,560$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.3546131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Jazz4c2,005$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.537627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7685…e082backed Jazz1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204316.3%7 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+102.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Jazz30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9823548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Jazz29c1,976$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.3719642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Mavericks68c1,745$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.418561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz31c1,529$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.451,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb5…f2a5backed Mavericks70c1,473$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.791643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x569b…9667backed Jazz30c1,373$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.81233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Mavericks75c1,243$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.1315234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Jazz29c1,095$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.5411143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Mavericks70c999.96$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9916242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Jazz24c922.02$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.568417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf3e7…a536backed Jazz30c816.35$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.265933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Jazz24c809.45$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19727735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Jazz29c781.69$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.694348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Mavericks71c760.32$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.497455.4%41 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Jazz28c719.64$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2772341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04a…824ebacked Jazz33c696.85$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.966829.4%20 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Jazz5c688.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.585911.9%7 W · 52 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-50.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Mavericks78c655.08$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6429043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Mavericks69c652.17$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.1712451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a38…b550backed Jazz30c620.67$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+47.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e26…1855backed Mavericks71c620.66$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.996100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jazz4c602.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.321,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Mavericks76c598.68$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.683860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Jazz17c570$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.120233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa441…dedebacked Mavericks69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Jazz33c492$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6637448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa98c…acb2backed Jazz10c423.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.43132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Jazz12c419.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8df…32b4backed Mavericks76c400$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e6…cc3abacked Mavericks71c364.15$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.62365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Mavericks71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1115149%74 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Mavericks73c351.04$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9512563.2%79 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Mavericks78c331.88$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2510546.7%49 W · 56 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mavericks70c300.42$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.121,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mavericks72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8489353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Mavericks69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9312154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc177…24b9backed Jazz32c299.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x179f…c974backed Jazz32c293.63$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaafb…3027backed Mavericks69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.865764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Mavericks70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7134169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…ac22backed Jazz32c283.58$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz15c282.65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.051,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Mavericks71c280.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.051838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x458d…694cbacked Jazz30c280$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6011…1cc5backed Mavericks69c279.73$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.721931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b93…9915backed Jazz15c267.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.892920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x581c…7f94backed Jazz7c260.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.218144.4%36 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6597…53b3backed Mavericks69c250$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.52157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddbf…b1b3backed Jazz26c250$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1e…b6ccbacked Jazz29c240.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.881163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Mavericks70c220.68$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.250047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3746…10ccbacked Jazz27c218.18$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.251040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Jazz23c217.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6618316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ed…d8b1backed Jazz20c210.75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.322810.7%3 W · 25 L-6.2wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-76.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Mavericks72c208.53$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.537363%46 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd86b…edc1backed Mavericks72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.334667.4%31 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddfe…9f07backed Jazz32c206.09$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Jazz30c202.79$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4217244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Jazz26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5248137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Mavericks72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5626049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Jazz10c186.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.470951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1b…75d8backed Mavericks76c181.04$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.547653.9%41 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d92…d51bbacked Mavericks77c172.02$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.561181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Mavericks78c171.88$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4211235.7%40 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x953c…9034backed Mavericks71c170.51$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.616251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef12…bb32backed Jazz29c165$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8580…4612backed Jazz13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205617.9%10 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Mavericks71c152.88$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.344656.5%26 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7999…ee7ebacked Jazz15c152.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.772441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Jazz33c151.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010921.1%23 W · 86 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa34d…1de4backed Jazz8c150$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55721.1%12 W · 45 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc689…9279backed Mavericks67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.55151%26 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c7b…a592backed Mavericks71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.56360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Mavericks71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.55543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jazz29c147.66$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.821,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Mavericks70c142.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8514062.9%88 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8267…5346backed Mavericks69c141.58$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.892347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc037…6f38backed Mavericks71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Mavericks71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8515558.7%91 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f46…255ebacked Mavericks71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Mavericks71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8510147.5%48 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7a0…ed74backed Mavericks71c140.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.173773%27 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Jazz25c139.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5885347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4577…a8e3backed Mavericks69c136.22$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-51.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Mavericks74c134.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4518666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa32b…e132backed Jazz30c133.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9311035.5%39 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1497…aedebacked Mavericks72c132.71$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.713850%19 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.