TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Cardinals vs. Seahawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seahawksof Cardinals, Seahawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$478,782
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$486,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,782 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Seahawks66c55,593$36,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,630.184736.2%17 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9863…1f6abacked Cardinals51c40,822$20,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,737.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Seahawks49c31,980$15,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,311.3625137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Seahawks49c23,411$11,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,046.839645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cardinals23c19,929$4,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,577.6220634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd398…c487backed Cardinals52c17,460$9,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,079.424634.8%16 W · 30 L-8.7wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-37%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8bea…2becbacked Seahawks48c15,435$7,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,026.05850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72a4…c77bbacked Seahawks49c13,112$6,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,724.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x841b…8530backed Cardinals54c13,061$7,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,052.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Cardinals50c12,518$6,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,258.8410334%35 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Seahawks49c11,200$5,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,71236246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Seahawks65c5,579$3,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.4914349%70 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Cardinals46c4,492$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07510768.2%73 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Seahawks51c4,417$2,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,162.3332438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986f…cac8backed Cardinals19c3,900$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Cardinals46c3,449$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.7522638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Seahawks49c3,379$1,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.127339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75e0…fe50backed Seahawks66c3,196$2,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.4810960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Seahawks40c3,070$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.883946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed Cardinals20c3,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6106634.8%23 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd889…cf51backed Seahawks65c2,705$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.633100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Cardinals4c2,600$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3333328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Cardinals58c2,534$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.3214445.8%66 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Seahawks50c2,276$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Cardinals50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014757.1%84 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x575d…0cedbacked Cardinals53c1,875$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick68cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Cardinals60c1,808$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.73141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Seahawks48c1,649$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.2544246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Cardinals11c1,588$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.211821.2%25 W · 93 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x690e…ff86backed Cardinals52c1,584$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Seahawks45c1,520$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.514022.9%32 W · 108 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x71ec…9957backed Cardinals46c1,508$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.15128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick31cpaid-85.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf79b…107abacked Cardinals33c1,504$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72e8…687ebacked Cardinals52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa71…11c7backed Seahawks50c1,329$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Cardinals19c1,306$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507627.6%21 W · 55 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Cardinals6c1,287$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.644311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbe1…5677backed Cardinals59c1,185$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.366553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Seahawks49c1,165$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.2310738.3%41 W · 66 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Seahawks51c1,148$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.336028.3%17 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Cardinals53c1,136$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.266758.2%39 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Cardinals49c1,121$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.6828556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Cardinals3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302119%4 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-74.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…e741backed Cardinals49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fd…a7dabacked Seahawks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1db1…35a9backed Cardinals53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5305536.4%20 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Cardinals50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50033047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Cardinals52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5204360.5%26 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+42.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Seahawks47c999.98$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.993953.8%21 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xed21…d879backed Seahawks49c999.68$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6bb…b3f0backed Cardinals52c965.96$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.041533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac34…b0fcbacked Cardinals53c941.51$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4993641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed Seahawks49c913.13$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Cardinals52c813$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.767241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Seahawks49c800$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.044420.5%9 W · 35 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-40.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e4a…9f10backed Seahawks50c798.66$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc380…8640backed Seahawks49c792.06$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3a…4968backed Seahawks49c792.06$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Seahawks40c759$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.45925.4%15 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…33ccbacked Seahawks50c681.96$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeee1…5962backed Seahawks50c616$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96a1…d6e3backed Cardinals51c603.92$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x235c…ba38backed Cardinals10c600$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-67.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Seahawks48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31239242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Seahawks48c600$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30914139%55 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Seahawks78c568$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.65056%28 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Cardinals57c530.43$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Cardinals50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked Seahawks41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2953250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Cardinals36c469.44$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1696333.3%21 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Cardinals36c460$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.321151.2%108 W · 103 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c4…a0b3backed Seahawks70c420$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick67cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b9e…3e97backed Seahawks51c415.92$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f33…200ebacked Cardinals25c401.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Seahawks47c400.33$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.852828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb924…0886backed Cardinals23c400$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7115132.5%49 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x876d…5238backed Seahawks49c399.99$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2043135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebc6…c3e4backed Cardinals53c397.71$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.794544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb68f…22f4backed Cardinals52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Seahawks47c380$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005558.2%32 W · 23 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe70a…6de8backed Seahawks56c372$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.233560%21 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Cardinals61c369.19$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22516451.2%84 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf59c…115bbacked Cardinals50c365$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.52972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc910…5e8dbacked Cardinals31c364.26$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.921553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick32cpaid+53.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x581c…7f94backed Seahawks48c361$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.722857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Seahawks48c349.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18210937.6%41 W · 68 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+52%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f5…4850backed Seahawks50c343.33$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.672055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Seahawks49c338.93$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.853056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Seahawks50c333$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.520736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Seahawks49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15316139.1%63 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Seahawks47c299.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15928433.1%94 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5948…f6f5backed Cardinals51c294.56$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid+2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked Seahawks41c289.99$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.09616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-59.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f0…d9a9backed Seahawks48c288.94$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.461844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x624e…1588backed Cardinals52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a8…5df3backed Seahawks49c287.24$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.491643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc1c…4eb9backed Seahawks50c285$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.52147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5199…382bbacked Cardinals37c274.72$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.610463.5%66 W · 38 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6be0…d4c3backed Cardinals37c270.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0979…ce4fbacked Seahawks51c250.1$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.