TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Bowling vs. UMass

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bowlingof Bowling, UMass
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$612,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$549,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $612,227 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed UMass14c196,161$27,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,714.7416234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed UMass15c85,395$13,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,210.6732745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked UMass15c30,395$4,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,509.182528%7 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed UMass14c28,221$4,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,086.5493548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed UMass14c22,724$3,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,181.3512718.9%24 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed UMass16c21,186$3,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,327.365945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UMass10c16,879$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.1821538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed UMass0c10,793$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13490%0 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed UMass16c10,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60014743.5%64 W · 83 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked UMass1c9,380$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.381360%0 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UMass8c8,475$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.3258850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed UMass0c6,502$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1694.3%3 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UMass16c6,086$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.5440244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae68…a807backed UMass1c5,709$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.17224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-68.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed UMass14c5,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.9925629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed UMass3c4,690$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.0713933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed UMass14c4,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63038546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed UMass15c4,280$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.111,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3d…35d0backed UMass17c4,207$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.222450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed UMass8c4,151$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.0952449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed UMass15c4,087$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.5554243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked UMass15c3,800$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57017443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed UMass17c3,570$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.934529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed UMass15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010047%47 W · 53 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked UMass15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bowling77c2,703$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.764841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked UMass9c2,609$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.3340541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked UMass6c2,553$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6762843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed UMass10c2,174$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.3619842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed UMass15c2,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf642…0c19backed UMass8c1,916$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1585147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed UMass16c1,815$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.46835.3%24 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked UMass17c1,200$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7947131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe08…10ebbacked UMass16c1,200$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-70.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d55…7925backed UMass15c1,200$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f7…b542backed UMass15c1,073$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed UMass16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed UMass15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed UMass15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507040%28 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ce…a1ccbacked UMass15c970$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked UMass3c939$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9657144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf838…c2f3backed UMass15c800$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked UMass11c781$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9113417.2%23 W · 111 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf755…c3f8backed UMass15c780$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00bf…167cbacked UMass2c762.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x756a…fd2bbacked UMass15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4496…d443backed UMass15c533.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc3…2b2cbacked UMass16c520$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcac0…1054backed UMass15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UMass14c490.62$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.692,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed UMass8c453.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1326940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed UMass16c448.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.137830.8%24 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed UMass4c444.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked UMass13c403.53$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7240%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed UMass16c347.2$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5538450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…76f7backed UMass15c341.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd929…a832backed UMass15c320.73$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed UMass5c320$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169142.9%39 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8343…5be0backed UMass16c292.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+148.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked UMass14c288.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4248546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed UMass16c283.25$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3221644.9%97 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed UMass17c273.76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.543135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed UMass8c266.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.342729.6%8 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-49.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked UMass17c261$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.37955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf9…5913backed UMass15c248.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa9…bad5backed UMass17c223.63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.234854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d5e…596abacked UMass15c220.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked UMass16c209.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0226846.3%124 W · 144 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd58b…48e8backed UMass14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282030%6 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5795…94c2backed UMass15c157.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c0c…cdfbbacked UMass15c154.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18be…4207backed UMass15c147$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaae…64e6backed UMass15c126$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba55…e97abacked UMass15c124$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed UMass16c123.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205724.6%14 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4121…afffbacked UMass16c121.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3992…d396backed UMass16c119.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d5…0010backed UMass15c119$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed UMass14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157553.3%40 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed UMass16c100.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.81118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-62.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed UMass16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd89c…ee03backed UMass15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a60…a571backed UMass15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7432…d7d5backed UMass16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64c6…8f19backed UMass16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f46…db50backed UMass15c93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd905…2394backed UMass16c92.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef2…9c46backed UMass15c92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…92ecbacked UMass17c91.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9aa…e1debacked UMass17c90.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed57…e0a0backed UMass16c90$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.717847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed UMass17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked UMass17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf978…bcdfbacked UMass15c88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd767…238cbacked UMass15c87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46cd…902fbacked UMass15c86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a4…1204backed UMass15c82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb887…2a69backed UMass15c80$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fac…65f4backed UMass17c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33fa…4c85backed UMass15c80$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.