NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0c069d20defa732470419809a5145df27beb8558b153c6f076d87bd175795f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $259,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Timberwolves | 18c | 25,600$4,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,715.62 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings | 45c | 13,581$6,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,454.22 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Kings | 55c | 11,048$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,927.09 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Kings | 44c | 10,431$4,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,876.09 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Kings | 39c | 8,410$3,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,127.46 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Timberwolves | 79c | 8,279$6,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,534.94 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Timberwolves | 69c | 8,171$5,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,637.7 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6cf0backed Timberwolves | 61c | 7,600$4,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,636 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Timberwolves | 60c | 5,002$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…13a8backed Kings | 41c | 3,974$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.73 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Kings | 55c | 2,730$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.94 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Kings | 40c | 2,576$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.82 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 54c | 2,515$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.98 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8f…ee8dbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 1,531$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…974dbacked Kings | 17c | 1,194$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.12 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings | 43c | 1,141$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.61 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Kings | 45c | 1,109$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.61 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Kings | 44c | 1,075$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.46 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 8c | 1,041$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Kings | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3586…eecfbacked Timberwolves | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Timberwolves | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Timberwolves | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Timberwolves | 63c | 999.94$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.96 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd515…8d38backed Kings | 64c | 970.69$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…79c9backed Kings | 45c | 966.7$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.68 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Timberwolves | 59c | 917.95$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.59 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Kings | 63c | 844.62$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.43 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Timberwolves | 51c | 784.8$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bd…6bd8backed Kings | 43c | 761.03$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Timberwolves | 51c | 753.7$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.86 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…3fa1backed Timberwolves | 66c | 725$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.75 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8779…1919backed Timberwolves | 60c | 709.53$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Kings | 10c | 700$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Kings | 18c | 664.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.93 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…6950backed Timberwolves | 56c | 639.75$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.26 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Timberwolves | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a8…0bfcbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Timberwolves | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 500$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed Kings | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Kings | 42c | 479.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.62 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings | 28c | 450$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a4…fec5backed Kings | 45c | 433.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Kings | 49c | 425$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.5 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Kings | 41c | 420.33$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.95 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…6ab9backed Timberwolves | 54c | 401.7$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Kings | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Timberwolves | 60c | 380.6$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.62 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Kings | 37c | 360$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Kings | 49c | 352.89$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6674…d1d3backed Kings | 38c | 331.42$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +58%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa648…6110backed Timberwolves | 64c | 331.25$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…d874backed Kings | 31c | 322.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.36 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Kings | 40c | 317.5$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Timberwolves | 80c | 317$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.6 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f3…48edbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 300.18$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Timberwolves | 30c | 300$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…3c94backed Kings | 49c | 290.08$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.94 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ed…b8b2backed Kings | 41c | 271.83$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +209.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c56…dfa1backed Kings | 40c | 252.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.66 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Timberwolves | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Kings | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Kings | 42c | 214.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eed…0c9abacked Timberwolves | 49c | 211.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Kings | 40c | 210$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.7 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8995…c18ebacked Timberwolves | 6c | 207.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Kings | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…0526backed Kings | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Timberwolves | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…7690backed Timberwolves | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Timberwolves | 6c | 196.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Timberwolves | 56c | 194.02$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fc…129cbacked Kings | 44c | 194.02$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Kings | 18c | 181.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.23 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Timberwolves | 33c | 180$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Kings | 41c | 167.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.49 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3d…657dbacked Kings | 60c | 166.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Timberwolves | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 166.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Kings | 76c | 162.24$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…1215backed Kings | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Kings | 38c | 160$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…a3a1backed Kings | 14c | 156.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.32 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kings | 36c | 155$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101a…3a32backed Kings | 16c | 151.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…4eacbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…6f56backed Kings | 47c | 133.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…d190backed Kings | 33c | 130$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…e9c0backed Kings | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…c7d5backed Timberwolves | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Kings | 63c | 120$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Kings | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…1c70backed Timberwolves | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Timberwolves | 35c | 116.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Kings | 43c | 116$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Kings | 49c | 112.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Timberwolves | 62c | 111$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.