TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

49ers vs. Buccaneers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
49ersof 49ers, Buccaneers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,990
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,990 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa84b…5055backed 49ers78c18,498$14,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,110.173976.9%30 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Buccaneers29c11,873$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5006028.3%17 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Buccaneers36c7,712$2,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,771.4314457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3195…a94fbacked Buccaneers25c6,155$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.243455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked 49ers71c6,037$4,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.7313751.8%71 W · 66 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Buccaneers32c5,481$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.451172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked 49ers71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.9632438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed 49ers71c4,538$3,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.689259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e9…af79backed Buccaneers29c4,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1601127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Buccaneers29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007627.6%21 W · 55 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Buccaneers29c2,808$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.665925.4%15 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Buccaneers28c2,784$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.485848.3%28 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked 49ers72c2,323$1,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.4536246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Buccaneers26c2,111$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5556333.3%21 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe105…0bf0backed 49ers72c2,074$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed 49ers72c2,014$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.9227339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5de8…cfb9backed Buccaneers5c1,928$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.715939%23 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed 49ers59c1,786$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.7322638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0e…72ebbacked 49ers71c1,757$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Buccaneers28c1,750$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.994630.4%14 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…91debacked Buccaneers28c1,724$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed 49ers71c1,710$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.8814757.1%84 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Buccaneers28c1,700$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47611346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x605a…3a21backed 49ers72c1,600$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick73cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac34…b0fcbacked Buccaneers32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Buccaneers28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42013040%52 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1856…a697backed Buccaneers27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4051145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8d…039ebacked 49ers73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4051154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef8…dce7backed 49ers71c1,500$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked 49ers70c1,254$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.3744246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf012…c29dbacked Buccaneers30c1,243$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.391435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed 49ers72c1,101$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.3634349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47fa…4bbebacked 49ers72c1,035$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.942263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b74…a4f4backed Buccaneers29c1,035$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.041816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Buccaneers30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked 49ers72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2803644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Buccaneers29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29016832.1%54 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c8…fc4cbacked Buccaneers28c964.52$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.074339.5%17 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd35d…7089backed Buccaneers28c882.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014452.8%76 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf25d…1134backed Buccaneers28c817.52$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Buccaneers21c813.21$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.2733328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Buccaneers62c805.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Buccaneers24c768.07$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2521713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed 49ers72c714$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9219864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed 49ers71c661$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.693946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3013…57edbacked 49ers69c609.06$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.31266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1361…822ebacked 49ers73c573.03$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.112556%14 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e91…097ebacked Buccaneers14c570.73$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Buccaneers4c554.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.424311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd765…55e4backed 49ers77c551.92$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.952564%16 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Buccaneers26c550$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b06…0b42backed 49ers72c550$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1542035%7 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Buccaneers28c500.02$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14028556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Buccaneers28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14023937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa0…6382backed Buccaneers29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd6…f461backed Buccaneers28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed Buccaneers29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63bf…e319backed Buccaneers29c490$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.18729.9%26 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa52…2cadbacked Buccaneers29c465.52$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9c…00f6backed Buccaneers29c460$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.44245.2%19 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed 49ers71c424.86$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2120736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed 49ers72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6716451.2%84 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef5…1622backed Buccaneers25c410$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.955253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a78…d066backed 49ers72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e1…6e44backed Buccaneers29c350.93$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe2b…ed08backed Buccaneers29c350$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.51526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…3e05backed Buccaneers28c350$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Buccaneers28c349.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9838459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc252…5bb4backed Buccaneers20c347.54$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1980%0 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Buccaneers29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013453.7%72 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed 49ers72c325$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed 49ers72c309.57$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.689265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x603a…fc8bbacked Buccaneers29c300$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8890%0 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa3df…d0f8backed Buccaneers30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-40.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f88…1272backed 49ers72c299.59$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.59540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-43.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked 49ers73c298.34$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6952828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x854b…a53bbacked Buccaneers30c293.49$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64c6…8f19backed 49ers71c285.63$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.832075%15 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Buccaneers29c279.93$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6814022.9%32 W · 108 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc60…3e66backed 49ers72c279$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.121675%12 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8053…2a8ebacked Buccaneers29c258.62$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Buccaneers17c250.74$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6412842.2%54 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd31…f196backed 49ers73c238.9$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.171346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked 49ers70c237.5$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9239242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8af…f391backed Buccaneers28c231.84$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x392e…9f19backed 49ers73c226.84$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f2…4216backed Buccaneers29c211.38$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+50.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfda0…e18abacked 49ers73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.48580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked 49ers73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.481675%12 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c60…70f1backed Buccaneers13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2640%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Buccaneers31c200$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6113051.5%67 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x486c…3d03backed Buccaneers29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584951%25 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Buccaneers20c199.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3914818.2%27 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Buccaneers27c199.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9914139%55 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2856…8d44backed 49ers72c190$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed 49ers66c189.85$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.837556.3%211 W · 164 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3670…18e8backed Buccaneers29c189.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5580%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e5…316dbacked Buccaneers29c189.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553520%7 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-54.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c57…9c22backed Buccaneers28c189.16$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86bc…e452backed Buccaneers25c186.41$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472119%4 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-53.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.