NFL · resolved market
Broncos vs. Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7e522976bf7a26b5dedc69e6ddfc6b82412b7ea7743f154dc339ae97957b238
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Broncos, Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $317,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Broncos | 73c | 65,473$47,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,994.13 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…ed42backed Raiders | 27c | 27,317$7,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,257.73 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Raiders | 23c | 26,405$5,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,980.51 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Raiders | 25c | 9,340$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.63 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986f…cac8backed Raiders | 30c | 9,075$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…3cffbacked Raiders | 20c | 8,925$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.91 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Broncos | 66c | 7,907$5,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.37 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Raiders | 0c | 7,331$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Raiders | 36c | 7,051$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Broncos | 68c | 5,135$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.03 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Broncos | 74c | 4,211$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.86 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Raiders | 0c | 3,986$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked Raiders | 3c | 3,842$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.11 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raiders | 4c | 3,436$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.11 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Raiders | 30c | 3,222$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.6 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Broncos | 66c | 2,766$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Raiders | 34c | 2,745$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.64 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Raiders | 30c | 2,565$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.5 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Raiders | 1c | 2,224$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…f84bbacked Raiders | 31c | 2,112$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…9150backed Broncos | 69c | 2,112$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Broncos | 70c | 2,007$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.36 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed Raiders | 31c | 1,817$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…229ebacked Broncos | 69c | 1,817$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raiders | 4c | 1,710$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Broncos | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Raiders | 26c | 1,595$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.73 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raiders | 22c | 1,553$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.72 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Raiders | 3c | 1,500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Raiders | 44c | 1,499$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.67 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd889…cf51backed Broncos | 70c | 1,419$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…0cedbacked Broncos | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a23…d565backed Broncos | 67c | 1,381$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Raiders | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79b…107abacked Raiders | 60c | 1,245$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Raiders | 24c | 1,199$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Raiders | 25c | 1,162$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.76 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raiders | 27c | 1,071$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.95 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Broncos | 73c | 1,044$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.03 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Broncos | 59c | 1,037$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.22 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…c6e3backed Broncos | 70c | 1,036$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.79 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Raiders | 30c | 1,000$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.92 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Broncos | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raiders | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Broncos | 69c | 999.93$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.98 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3849…35ebbacked Raiders | 33c | 925.2$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…4c34backed Raiders | 30c | 806$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Broncos | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Raiders | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe799…3d4dbacked Raiders | 21c | 649.9$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.13 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Raiders | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Broncos | 48c | 571.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.43 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Broncos | 69c | 561.87$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.31 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Raiders | 2c | 550.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71ec…9957backed Raiders | 38c | 531.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 31cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Broncos | 66c | 526.93$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.93 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Raiders | 30c | 504$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Broncos | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…9d9bbacked Broncos | 66c | 497.84$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.84 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…5e8dbacked Broncos | 47c | 461.09$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Broncos | 68c | 443.73$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Raiders | 36c | 435.81$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.74 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…e00ebacked Raiders | 38c | 420.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de7…45d8backed Raiders | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0886backed Raiders | 26c | 399.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.05 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe1…5677backed Broncos | 66c | 383.95$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.54 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Raiders | 45c | 364.08$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.76 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…f630backed Broncos | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raiders | 30c | 335.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Broncos | 71c | 335$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Raiders | 33c | 328.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b14…64bcbacked Raiders | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Raiders | 29c | 306.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Broncos | 65c | 300.88$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0d…1598backed Raiders | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…9f73backed Raiders | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Broncos | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…5238backed Broncos | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbccb…a425backed Raiders | 24c | 298.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a0…ed74backed Broncos | 71c | 283.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.14 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Broncos | 79c | 274.09$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Broncos | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…f6f5backed Broncos | 70c | 265.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4329…ba41backed Raiders | 12c | 257$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Broncos | 73c | 250.18$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…ec35backed Raiders | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f67…0df6backed Raiders | 16c | 246.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be0…d4c3backed Raiders | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…53f7backed Raiders | 11c | 232.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x902c…50dcbacked Raiders | 8c | 230$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Broncos | 70c | 228.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…42f8backed Raiders | 26c | 227.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked Raiders | 30c | 218.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…0a83backed Broncos | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…ac5abacked Raiders | 12c | 211.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Raiders | 5c | 208.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2df2…29cebacked Raiders | 7c | 201$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Raiders | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Broncos | 71c | 200$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0296…1e2bbacked Raiders | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.