TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Lakers, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$199,099
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$220,817

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,099 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Lakers72c30,025$21,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,452.4315056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4741…6cf0backed Lakers56c9,248$5,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,069.121154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Spurs39c6,832$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.9665642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Spurs2c5,554$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.831,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…3665backed Lakers79c5,093$4,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.514060%24 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Spurs45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25076249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Lakers55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9572241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs23c4,905$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.211,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Spurs19c4,666$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.525911.9%7 W · 52 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-50.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeeca…9826backed Spurs26c4,235$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1003826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa55a…8846backed Spurs33c4,217$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.0730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs19c3,773$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.391,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Lakers54c3,432$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.991,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Spurs44c3,214$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.533752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Spurs26c3,142$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.7770147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Lakers78c3,124$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.4519650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Spurs33c2,680$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.5829043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Spurs46c2,211$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.151,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Spurs31c2,095$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.0911146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Spurs25c2,005$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.348439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Spurs47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94023548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fc7…8416backed Spurs46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.991464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+79.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Lakers54c1,990$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.459646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af0…77ebbacked Lakers53c1,962$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.37650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Lakers54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8510945.9%50 W · 59 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Spurs16c1,500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Spurs22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33025939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Spurs4c1,499$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1518316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb92d…f84bbacked Lakers53c1,443$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.991050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36ed…6950backed Spurs37c1,420$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.962842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Spurs6c1,220$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.221,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb8…9ab0backed Spurs47c1,085$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.151030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Spurs30c1,005$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Lakers54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Spurs30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8580…4612backed Spurs1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105617.9%10 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Spurs46c999.97$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9916242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Spurs47c999.41$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.728043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3849…35ebbacked Lakers69c985.65$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.551764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x101a…3a32backed Spurs4c975.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.01922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Lakers55c912.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.429148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Lakers54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.7412451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789e…fd45backed Spurs44c710$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.41030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Spurs27c700$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1861,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed Spurs15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1058229.3%24 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Lakers78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0330954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df2…97a5backed Spurs47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b4…442dbacked Lakers50c633.26$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.193164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Spurs29c632.43$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.3161532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf33…4eacbacked Spurs26c600$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1566426.6%17 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Lakers56c598.57$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.6419845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe475…2e6fbacked Spurs8c552.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453831.6%12 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Spurs47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23510243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Lakers53c458$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.8417244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a27…fe44backed Spurs35c431.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3443…a2ffbacked Spurs45c428.67$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+45.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1469…d224backed Lakers57c428.58$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.295100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ded…5d66backed Lakers78c414.54$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.582462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…8804backed Spurs45c410.67$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffc7…4b57backed Lakers57c410.6$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+51.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Spurs11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4884…9cf8backed Spurs27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x958e…1a56backed Spurs47c347.51$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.331136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79ee…ae97backed Spurs47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Spurs30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907352.1%38 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2cd…e05abacked Spurs45c297.78$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac7b…6535backed Lakers57c297.39$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.889100%9 W · 0 L+4.0wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0407…3305backed Lakers53c270.49$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.132250%11 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9624…10c0backed Lakers57c258.77$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91b6…d4b2backed Spurs45c258.4$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.28650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x056d…0076backed Lakers58c257.64$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf03a…1629backed Spurs44c257.33$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c56…dfa1backed Spurs49c257.14$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262425%6 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fd2…5e2abacked Lakers60c250.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.124727.7%13 W · 34 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Spurs22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5515234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f09…0478backed Lakers55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+40.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Spurs28c247$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0412154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2626…38c1backed Lakers57c235.88$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.571080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+54.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x454e…125cbacked Spurs45c235.56$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaec3…23cdbacked Spurs45c212.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a8e…0fddbacked Lakers57c212.12$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.21862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Spurs48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010153.5%54 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Spurs48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x058e…20c2backed Spurs45c202.52$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x918c…05f3backed Lakers58c202.52$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e8b…4f21backed Lakers71c200$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5912841.4%53 W · 75 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1641…08a2backed Spurs49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Lakers51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9820233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf5…c7d5backed Lakers55c199.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cce…a5a1backed Lakers56c198.98$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Lakers44c198.68$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4585347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Lakers55c189.56$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.561,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8678…9ec7backed Spurs45c188.89$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2404…1b52backed Lakers56c188.88$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+373.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cc9…b264backed Lakers56c187.5$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad78…62c5backed Spurs17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab7c…a339backed Lakers56c169.64$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Lakers71c169.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2870951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe063…d793backed Spurs45c166.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lakers75c161.45$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.161,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.