NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd57cfbeeb938c0912abc111a84b423b8463296bce27ceaaf99304677d412c5e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,997,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,060,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,997,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Oilers | 57c | 1,741,945$1,001,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001,235.61 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Stars | 47c | 905,597$424,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480,926.28 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Stars | 42c | 250,000$105,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,000 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Stars | 44c | 247,231$108,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,726.89 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Stars | 44c | 215,721$94,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,351.27 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Oilers | 57c | 176,916$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Stars | 44c | 134,674$59,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,417.55 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Stars | 43c | 61,231$26,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,903.25 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Stars | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,000 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Stars | 43c | 40,000$17,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,800 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stars | 44c | 39,668$17,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,034 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Stars | 42c | 37,777$16,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,757.75 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Stars | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,200 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Stars | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Oilers | 54c | 20,000$10,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,899.96 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Stars | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,550 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Oilers | 55c | 13,815$7,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,598.43 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27c9…2278backed Stars | 45c | 11,862$5,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,524.22 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd85…3e4bbacked Stars | 8c | 11,150$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,258 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Oilers | 38c | 11,000$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed Oilers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Stars | 45c | 9,721$4,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,380.4 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Stars | 43c | 9,601$4,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,472.57 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Oilers | 56c | 8,995$5,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,037.2 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Stars | 44c | 8,835$3,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,947.57 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 54c | 8,776$4,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,739.02 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 42c | 8,226$3,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.18 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oilers | 9c | 8,071$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.73 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Stars | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Oilers | 45c | 7,999$3,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,617.5 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stars | 42c | 7,908$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,551.01 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Oilers | 55c | 7,500$4,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,124.91 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Oilers | 56c | 7,465$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180.28 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…87d4backed Oilers | 55c | 7,079$3,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,893.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Stars | 45c | 7,078$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,893.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…975dbacked Oilers | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4f…2a10backed Stars | 44c | 6,985$3,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,911.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…2a9cbacked Stars | 45c | 6,800$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Stars | 44c | 6,666$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Oilers | 55c | 6,282$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480.56 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Oilers | 56c | 5,871$3,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,274.99 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c38dbacked Oilers | 56c | 5,800$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 52c | 5,460$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.91 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc25d…9411backed Oilers | 56c | 4,800$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…f748backed Oilers | 55c | 4,750$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b4…1cd0backed Stars | 45c | 4,740$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Oilers | 57c | 4,500$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…dc0cbacked Stars | 45c | 4,469$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Oilers | 55c | 4,446$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.31 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Stars | 45c | 4,445$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.79 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Stars | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Stars | 43c | 4,273$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.78 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Oilers | 56c | 4,255$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.44 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Oilers | 4c | 4,002$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Oilers | 58c | 4,000$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.89 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…d563backed Stars | 45c | 3,999$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24c…8f5bbacked Oilers | 5c | 3,980$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…21c0backed Oilers | 56c | 3,700$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Stars | 45c | 3,700$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Oilers | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de6…24c8backed Oilers | 56c | 3,570$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Stars | 45c | 3,467$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.67 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Oilers | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.15 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Stars | 43c | 3,200$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.99 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Oilers | 55c | 3,198$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Oilers | 55c | 3,189$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Stars | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…c0f4backed Stars | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stars | 43c | 2,958$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.5 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…7bcabacked Oilers | 55c | 2,800$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe688…0053backed Stars | 45c | 2,700$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b3…62e0backed Oilers | 5c | 2,649$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Stars | 70c | 2,539$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.61 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Stars | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Stars | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Stars | 58c | 2,455$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.95 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Stars | 44c | 2,393$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.31 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked Stars | 44c | 2,386$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Stars | 45c | 2,371$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.05 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Stars | 44c | 2,343$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.08 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed Oilers | 55c | 2,230$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.97 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Stars | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Oilers | 55c | 2,137$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.35 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Stars | 42c | 2,053$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.02 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Stars | 44c | 2,029$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.03 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Stars | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Oilers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Stars | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Stars | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Oilers | 30c | 1,952$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.81 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x174a…5b97backed Oilers | 55c | 1,950$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Stars | 43c | 1,904$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.22 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Oilers | 24c | 1,900$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2352…c350backed Stars | 44c | 1,850$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers | 55c | 1,826$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.33 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1661…5d3cbacked Oilers | 56c | 1,795$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Oilers | 48c | 1,781$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Oilersthis page
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Stars vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.