NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacce05fd5d5bed4495286aaa0f4840a29e93a8418868ea00d0b1403314c6431a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 2,333$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.67 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Over | 61c | 2,255$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.53 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 39c | 1,519$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.7 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 38c | 1,227$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.26 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 61c | 897$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.55 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 41c | 854$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.14 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Over | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Over | 61c | 644.15$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.22 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…d167backed Over | 59c | 472.14$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.14 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 39c | 431.43$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.26 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 40c | 355.9$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.46 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 40c | 342.14$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.86 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Over | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 60c | 199.4$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 59c | 186.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 40c | 167.78$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 42c | 156.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 42c | 115.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d3…45c3backed Under | 41c | 101.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Under | 59c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…9d52backed Over | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdb…1598backed Over | 55c | 44.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 39c | 41.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…3e45backed Over | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 61c | 28.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. OilersStars won
- Stars vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.