NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe15cc157ff3e4794c1bf45ad0dc73c83feea02509771680f9ff3290f9ef0561f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb12…4c15backed Over | 47c | 17,000$7,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,010 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…c9fabacked Under | 54c | 9,900$5,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,346 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 8,305$4,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,414.57 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d8…0649backed Under | 53c | 7,101$3,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,776.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 3,089$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.66 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 48c | 2,738$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.61 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…9ea3backed Under | 53c | 2,398$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.58 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 2,131$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.42 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…d4a8backed Over | 48c | 1,701$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…70aabacked Under | 54c | 1,636$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Over | 49c | 1,449$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.98 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 48c | 1,089$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.37 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over | 46c | 1,069$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.25 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 53c | 1,057$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 46c | 995.58$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.58 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 942$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.23 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 46c | 761$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.94 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Over | 46c | 550$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 54c | 499.67$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.82 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 73c | 481.59$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.81 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Over | 3c | 470.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.85 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 52c | 444$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Over | 45c | 438.27$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.05 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 432$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.77 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e99…8475backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 38c | 407.11$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.87 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 55c | 185$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 46c | 131$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Under | 34c | 110.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 76c | 109.84$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 51c | 101.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 198 | 44.4%88 W · 110 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 46c | 87.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 46c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…20a3backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffc…ef35backed Under | 55c | 60.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…7e9abacked Under | 54c | 57.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 41c | 52.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc6…a289backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Over | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…976bbacked Over | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 653 | 45%294 W · 359 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 31.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…eb30backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe651…4661backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. OilersStars won
- Stars vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.