TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1fc6…a289

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST2962.1%18 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+137.3%+$34.31
Bears vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+39.7%+$13.9
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Bengals vs. Bills: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$11.05
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Cardinals vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.76
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$24.26
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.5%+$4.86
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.74
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST2263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$39.17
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.52
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+25%+$3.75
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+31.6%+$5.72
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$13.41
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+32.7%+$4.91
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.74
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.74
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.95
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+126.8%+$25.36
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.42
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+73.8%+$11.06
Golden Knights vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Lightning vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Sabres vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Bruins vs. Bluesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Flames vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+32.4%+$6.47
Stars vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Bruins vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.58
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+72%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+35.1%+$8.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Navy vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$2.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$8.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.