NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5097b193ec9778d9bf9d7d658eb8306b099d80646ef0a0dea0803b6a1864532b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 124,342$61,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,682.49 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 50c | 104,964$52,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,486.05 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Over | 51c | 50,314$25,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,653.73 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 50c | 15,150$7,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,575 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 51c | 9,000$4,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,420 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 7,143$3,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,543.27 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 49c | 6,061$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.89 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 6,000$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.84 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 48c | 2,523$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.13 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 52c | 2,523$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.13 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.59 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 49c | 606$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.94 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Under | 50c | 555$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.5 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 49c | 443.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.56 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 50c | 362$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.78 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Under | 51c | 333.33$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 200.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…7511backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Over | 50c | 152.45$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 50c | 107.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 51c | 102.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…bca4backed Under | 50c | 100.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…fdf1backed Under | 51c | 97.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0356…5273backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…4f40backed Over | 51c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 51c | 59.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Under | 49c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Under | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Under | 49c | 45.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…1adabacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -11.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc6…a289backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…532bbacked Under | 51c | 25.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5this page
- Senators vs. Blue JacketsSenators won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.