NFL · resolved market

Bengals vs. Bills: O/U 53.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28b299012ba8da1df6edc2616107ee2ba1464d21318a8e7f09ead2113e8b7f7d

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 7, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $125,582
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $129,451

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,582 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Over	52c	47,798$24,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,127.74	865	47.9%414 W · 451 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Under	47c	39,558$18,397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,396.85	176	47.7%84 W · 92 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Under	52c	20,169$10,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,488.35	173	48%83 W · 90 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	52c	12,965$6,765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,199.93	513	52.2%268 W · 245 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	54c	10,797$5,789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,008.45	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over	44c	9,981$4,392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,589.36	343	49.3%169 W · 174 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	46c	9,929$4,599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,599.15	502	42.4%213 W · 289 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe965…6559backed Under	49c	6,000$2,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,910	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under	47c	4,712$2,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,214.64	314	50%157 W · 157 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under	49c	4,509$2,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,209.41	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under	53c	4,034$2,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,156.03	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Over	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	155	55.5%86 W · 69 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over	54c	3,200$1,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,472	212	54.2%115 W · 97 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over	44c	3,000$1,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,680	196	51.5%101 W · 95 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b22…c59cbacked Over	54c	2,500$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,150	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a2…4a7ebacked Under	48c	2,081$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Over	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920	224	46.4%104 W · 120 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	140	35%49 W · 91 L	-12.0wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under	47c	1,602$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$755.77	473	48.4%229 W · 244 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	49c	1,497$733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.47	758	52.5%398 W · 360 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Over	51c	1,142$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.39	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Over	54c	1,000$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	117	59.8%70 W · 47 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Under	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Over	54c	925.93$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.93	186	50%93 W · 93 L	+9.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60f0…1a38backed Over	45c	753$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.15	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958f…7d5abacked Under	52c	752.6$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.35	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over	54c	750$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345	141	51.8%73 W · 68 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Over	54c	740.74$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.74	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over	50c	650$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked Under	51c	650$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334	138	45.7%63 W · 75 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	46c	610.8$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.97	650	48.3%314 W · 336 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	49c	573.12$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.17	568	52.3%297 W · 271 L	+26.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	594	53.7%319 W · 275 L	+24.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Under	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.8	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	46c	492.45$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.54	1,065	51.3%546 W · 519 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under	40c	439.83$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.69	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0c…6825backed Under	52c	430$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.6	105	37.1%39 W · 66 L	-12.5wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Over	51c	419.85$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.73	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b1…2c4ebacked Under	52c	385.19$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+54.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over	69c	375$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.82	647	47.3%306 W · 341 L	+42.5wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under	38c	300$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.63	684	46.1%315 W · 369 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x809d…4f4fbacked Under	49c	300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Over	54c	277.78$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.78	166	48.2%80 W · 86 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under	32c	222.02$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.16	315	43.2%136 W · 179 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Under	47c	220$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.4	92	48.9%45 W · 47 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Over	54c	218$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.28	110	47.3%52 W · 58 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Under	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	159	44%70 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under	49c	205$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.45	553	45%249 W · 304 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…fb15backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	86	50%43 W · 43 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64cc…ad9dbacked Under	22c	200$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+6.3wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Over	51c	197$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.53	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c76…da3ebacked Over	50c	150$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.6wins	+0.65per pick	35cpaid	+225.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x395c…1f55backed Over	50c	150$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Under	40c	149.83$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.12	65	21.5%14 W · 51 L	-9.5wins	-0.15per pick	36cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under	49c	149$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.11	834	47.1%393 W · 441 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under	49c	144.35$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.73	141	54.6%77 W · 64 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	46c	127.75$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.02	356	48%171 W · 185 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Over	52c	115.38$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.38	110	54.5%60 W · 50 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeeb…fe51backed Over	51c	113$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.37	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under	29c	108.9$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.05	294	39.5%116 W · 178 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6da8…d660backed Under	47c	106.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.9	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.2wins	-0.32per pick	52cpaid	-71.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over	54c	101$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.46	191	52.9%101 W · 90 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	37c	100.32$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.2	736	51.2%377 W · 359 L	+25.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Under	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	129	54.3%70 W · 59 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	532	53%282 W · 250 L	+19.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Under	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.67	70	44.3%31 W · 39 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…57f1backed Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	58	62.1%36 W · 22 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a7f…91ebbacked Under	47c	93.34$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.87	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Under	54c	89$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.06	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Under	27c	86.57$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.18	191	24.6%47 W · 144 L	-11.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	42c	75.83$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.98	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Under	48c	75$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c24…8c06backed Over	54c	66.96$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.8	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+3.9wins	+0.18per pick	46cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over	46c	64$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.56	202	38.6%78 W · 124 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3c…7efbbacked Over	51c	59.12$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.12	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over	46c	54.25$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.34	414	50.5%209 W · 205 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fca…9696backed Over	54c	51.44$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.66	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	50cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	91	51.6%47 W · 44 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	196	51.5%101 W · 95 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	600	49.3%296 W · 304 L	+21.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.75	320	43.8%140 W · 180 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over	77c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	488	47.5%232 W · 256 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	242	43.4%105 W · 137 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e13…a547backed Under	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	103	61.2%63 W · 40 L	+11.3wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7543…1852backed Under	51c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-3.1wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e07…3702backed Under	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa19f…f745backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9386…cfe5backed Under	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30dd…ffe1backed Over	48c	38$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.76	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa362…e81cbacked Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Over	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	149	51%76 W · 73 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Under	47c	31.7$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	198	44.9%89 W · 109 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Under	56c	29.93$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.66	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480a…429fbacked Over	50c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Under	47c	24.82$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.67	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc6…a289backed Over	52c	23.02$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.05	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b0a…266fbacked Over	54c	22.92$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.54	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	203	54.7%111 W · 92 L	+11.9wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Over	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	70	61.4%43 W · 27 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Bengals vs. Bills: O/U 53.5this page
1H Spread: Bills (-3.5)Bengals won
Bengals vs. BillsBills won
Bengals vs. Bills: 1H MoneylineBengals won
Bengals vs. Bills: O/U 51.5Over won
Bengals vs. Bills: O/U 52.5Over won
Bengals vs. Bills: O/U 54.5Over won
Spread: Bills (-5.5)Bengals won
Spread: Bills (-6.5)Bengals won
Spread: Bills (-7.5)Bengals won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bengals vs. Bills: O/U 53.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event