College Football · resolved market
Navy vs. Memphis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0f3ae8ef22fbeac970daa3fc816a91c1e92e093c809ede433137d9c7993a3e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navyof Navy, Memphis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Memphis | 48c | 40,299$19,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,517.29 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Memphis | 63c | 39,981$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Memphis | 61c | 38,500$23,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,609.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Navy | 40c | 24,623$9,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,680.82 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Navy | 43c | 24,405$10,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,979.33 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Navy | 38c | 20,003$7,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,401.84 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Navy | 38c | 17,491$6,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,844.35 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Navy | 38c | 13,474$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,353.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Navy | 50c | 10,414$5,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,233.56 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Navy | 49c | 10,105$4,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,188.02 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Memphis | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Navy | 47c | 9,956$4,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,325.94 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Memphis | 50c | 9,424$4,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,705.91 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Navy | 39c | 8,465$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,205.38 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Navy | 38c | 7,590$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.8 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Navy | 39c | 6,834$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,171.04 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Memphis | 37c | 5,862$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.48 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Memphis | 59c | 5,374$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.7 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edd…e848backed Memphis | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Navy | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.9 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…e4f0backed Memphis | 62c | 4,912$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…ba6abacked Navy | 38c | 4,900$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Navy | 37c | 4,857$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.52 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…5c95backed Memphis | 62c | 4,668$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129c…7362backed Navy | 38c | 4,655$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Navy | 47c | 3,464$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.98 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Navy | 38c | 3,375$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.27 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Memphis | 65c | 3,072$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Navy | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Memphis | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Navy | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Navy | 74c | 1,964$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.08 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Memphis | 64c | 1,841$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Memphis | 47c | 1,635$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.7 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4285backed Navy | 41c | 1,378$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.02 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Memphis | 61c | 1,308$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.76 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Navy | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Memphis | 48c | 1,194$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…156bbacked Memphis | 62c | 1,150$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…615bbacked Navy | 39c | 1,070$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4090…d882backed Memphis | 61c | 1,043$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Navy | 40c | 1,036$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…428bbacked Memphis | 61c | 1,029$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…c5c5backed Navy | 38c | 1,026$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…f97dbacked Memphis | 61c | 1,016$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f30…1ee2backed Navy | 38c | 1,015$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…8479backed Memphis | 61c | 1,003$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f17…1c37backed Navy | 38c | 999.97$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…161cbacked Memphis | 61c | 989.84$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c2…efe5backed Navy | 38c | 987.74$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…d51ebacked Navy | 38c | 973.4$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…1ba1backed Navy | 39c | 960$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Navy | 38c | 937.64$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.27 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Memphis | 61c | 918.03$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Memphis | 65c | 902$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.82 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Navy | 39c | 897.44$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.44 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b6…98cfbacked Memphis | 62c | 880$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Memphis | 61c | 852.16$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.78 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…aa64backed Navy | 39c | 800$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…a2bcbacked Memphis | 62c | 750$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffa…241dbacked Memphis | 62c | 720$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Navy | 37c | 699.79$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.87 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6823…9507backed Navy | 39c | 670$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Navy | 38c | 641.12$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.49 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Navy | 42c | 607.14$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.25 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Navy | 38c | 590.44$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.8 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Memphis | 45c | 585.12$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.7 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Navy | 35c | 565.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.98 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Navy | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a1…88f3backed Memphis | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Memphis | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Memphis | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ce…2972backed Memphis | 52c | 479.38$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Memphis | 61c | 451.16$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.73 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Navy | 39c | 415$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.15 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Memphis | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…a6edbacked Navy | 38c | 391.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…a5a9backed Memphis | 63c | 365.13$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…ca40backed Navy | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Memphis | 62c | 350$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Memphis | 62c | 331.01$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.63 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Memphis | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…8b02backed Memphis | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5033…41ecbacked Navy | 38c | 310$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…bd63backed Navy | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Memphis | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c7…850dbacked Memphis | 21c | 292.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…8d0ebacked Memphis | 69c | 291.06$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Memphis | 65c | 278.29$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Navy | 38c | 274.61$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.26 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Memphis | 22c | 270.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Memphis | 61c | 266.43$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.52 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Memphis | 62c | 255.25$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Navy | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e42…3ec4backed Navy | 38c | 249.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Memphis | 62c | 240.32$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Navy | 38c | 229.18$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.09 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152d…7a9abacked Navy | 39c | 224.26$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232a…3965backed Navy | 39c | 217.95$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd110…ed30backed Memphis | 62c | 217.53$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Navy vs. Memphisthis page
- Navy vs. Memphis: 1H MoneylineMemphis won
- Navy vs. Memphis: O/U 58.5Under won
- Navy vs. Memphis: O/U 59.5Under won
- Navy vs. Memphis: O/U 60.5Under won
- O/U 57.5Under won
- Spread: Memphis (-3.5)Navy won
- Spread: Memphis (-4.5)Navy won
- Spread: Memphis (-6.5)Navy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.