College Football · resolved market
O/U 57.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa128f3385950e7b1179bf8c99d302b07776693188933244c7d0d6dc4704ff375
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Under | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 11,734$5,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,758.68 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 10,709$5,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,411 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.83 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 2,361$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.45 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 49c | 2,089$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 49c | 1,027$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.77 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…d209backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 750$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 347.3$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Over | 49c | 156.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 49c | 135$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…c968backed Over | 50c | 34.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 57.5this page
- Navy vs. MemphisNavy won
- Navy vs. Memphis: 1H MoneylineMemphis won
- Navy vs. Memphis: O/U 58.5Under won
- Navy vs. Memphis: O/U 59.5Under won
- Navy vs. Memphis: O/U 60.5Under won
- Spread: Memphis (-3.5)Navy won
- Spread: Memphis (-4.5)Navy won
- Spread: Memphis (-6.5)Navy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.