College Football · resolved market
Spread: Memphis (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6793aee2015466caf6359e908f2f2dba071b5aad5b02f748e41e7559526edc71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navyof Memphis, Navy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Navy | 51c | 134,833$68,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,071.02 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Memphis | 49c | 124,261$60,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,938.62 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Memphis | 49c | 14,548$7,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,127.52 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Memphis | 50c | 6,999$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.5 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Navy | 50c | 5,245$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.5 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Navy | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Memphis | 50c | 4,500$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Navy | 50c | 4,014$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.51 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Navy | 52c | 1,935$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.7 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Navy | 50c | 1,845$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Navy | 55c | 1,263$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.37 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Memphis | 50c | 1,226$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.88 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a1…88f3backed Memphis | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…1e82backed Navy | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Memphis | 48c | 973.57$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.31 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Navy | 49c | 925$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.5 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Navy | 51c | 813.71$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.72 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Memphis | 49c | 806.71$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.29 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Navy | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Memphis | 49c | 704.43$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.17 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Memphis | 25c | 687.88$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.87 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Navy | 50c | 555$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Memphis | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked Navy | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…a6edbacked Memphis | 51c | 492.16$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Memphis | 49c | 490.19$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.65 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Memphis | 51c | 447$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.15 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Memphis | 49c | 409$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.14 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…3bf9backed Memphis | 30c | 402.63$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Memphis | 51c | 348$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.12 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Navy | 51c | 255.66$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Memphis | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…e0a0backed Navy | 51c | 230$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Memphis | 50c | 204$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…ff3dbacked Memphis | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Memphis | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Memphis | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Navy | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Memphis | 28c | 171.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Navy | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…0a46backed Navy | 51c | 146$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Memphis | 52c | 114.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Memphis | 53c | 102$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Memphis | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Memphis | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Navy | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Memphis | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Memphis | 49c | 63.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Navy | 51c | 62.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…bad5backed Navy | 51c | 62.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Navy | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b01…fa0fbacked Memphis | 51c | 44.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Memphis | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Navy | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a2…0ff7backed Memphis | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6d…acccbacked Navy | 50c | 29.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…e1fabacked Memphis | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93a…0c67backed Memphis | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7f61backed Memphis | 50c | 23.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…8923backed Navy | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Memphis (-3.5)this page
- Navy vs. MemphisNavy won
- Navy vs. Memphis: 1H MoneylineMemphis won
- Navy vs. Memphis: O/U 58.5Under won
- Navy vs. Memphis: O/U 59.5Under won
- Navy vs. Memphis: O/U 60.5Under won
- O/U 57.5Under won
- Spread: Memphis (-4.5)Navy won
- Spread: Memphis (-6.5)Navy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.