College Football · resolved market
Navy vs. Memphis: O/U 58.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46f149c3ad318b230a3adae3a87e06e290581087acb8e3282548b5954bce093f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 53c | 12,845$6,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.3 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Over | 47c | 7,560$3,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,553.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 4,786$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.3 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 1,438$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.77 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 47c | 1,096$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 750$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Over | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 695.74$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.38 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 46c | 575$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.5 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 48c | 573$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.76 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 304$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.08 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 102$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 52c | 87.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 54c | 35.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Navy vs. Memphis: O/U 58.5this page
- Navy vs. MemphisNavy won
- Navy vs. Memphis: 1H MoneylineMemphis won
- Navy vs. Memphis: O/U 59.5Under won
- Navy vs. Memphis: O/U 60.5Under won
- O/U 57.5Under won
- Spread: Memphis (-3.5)Navy won
- Spread: Memphis (-4.5)Navy won
- Spread: Memphis (-6.5)Navy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.