TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd93a…0c67

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Olympics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST3740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
76ers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.35
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+138.1%+$17.95
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+270.4%+$32.44
Pistons vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.02
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kenneth Walker III: Anytime Touchdownbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+150.9%+$24.89
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.69
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+45.8%+$6.87
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$14.08
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+300%+$60
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick77cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+376.2%+$75.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Red Wings vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+127.3%+$15.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.2%+$14.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+46%+$6.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.