Golf · resolved market
Will Rory McIlroy be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca62a1121d615218dec3a51a1de8df9e66223bdd348698c0ac2ce9b34037f938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x646a…3dafbacked Yes | 53c | 3,313$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 77c | 2,182$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.27 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 33c | 1,670$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 14c | 1,500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 38c | 643.86$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5498…2a1ebacked Yes | 70c | 618.03$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa9…1168backed Yes | 73c | 610.16$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 57c | 567.98$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.26 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…c2c6backed No | 45c | 520.97$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad9…65d7backed No | 58c | 392$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 39c | 356.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 44c | 340.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3a…c965backed Yes | 62c | 302.35$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…8ad8backed Yes | 70c | 286.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09cb…b1b6backed No | 54c | 180$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427d…0454backed Yes | 61c | 162.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed No | 41c | 121.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked No | 47c | 106.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked Yes | 59c | 105.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 34c | 91.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 55c | 88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 38c | 83.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…3c05backed Yes | 46c | 76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…d8d0backed No | 53c | 75.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 42c | 70.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…0289backed Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…90d8backed No | 43c | 57.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Yes | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 54c | 52.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…9daebacked Yes | 49c | 52.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…92d6backed Yes | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 38c | 41.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 295 | 3.7%11 W · 284 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Yes | 72c | 41.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe942…c9b0backed Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…83d7backed Yes | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 45c | 34.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 40c | 33.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…780bbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf08…c807backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…2a63backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked No | 39c | 29.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…073dbacked Yes | 64c | 27.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93a…0c67backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabf…5f85backed No | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661a…0ed9backed Yes | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1983…eb99backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…b10abacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rory McIlroy be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?this page
- Will Alessia Russo be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?No won
- Will Chloe Kelly be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?No won
- Will Ellie Kildunne be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?No won
- Will Hannah Hampton be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?No won
- Will Lando Norris be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?No won
- Will Luke Littler be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.