Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6cf5131166b4b71eccd6f8a48ca0b3898210e414c61d4b70f0c9a64b51ad159
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 35c | 19,667$6,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,813.95 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 63c | 9,693$6,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.06 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 37c | 7,009$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,393.1 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 29c | 4,290$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,027.1 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 62c | 4,232$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.45 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 36c | 3,555$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.67 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 64c | 3,204$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.38 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 36c | 2,663$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16be…23d9backed Yes | 39c | 2,465$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.73 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…176dbacked Yes | 38c | 2,300$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.45 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 35c | 1,994$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.08 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 1c | 1,966$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 33c | 1,419$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.9 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed Yes | 30c | 1,400$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.25 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 27c | 1,300$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.21 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,183$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…4f81backed Yes | 28c | 1,028$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2,039.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 37c | 1,025$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed Yes | 40c | 1,007$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed No | 63c | 983.04$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.59 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 74c | 955$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 72c | 871$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4e…0e0bbacked Yes | 37c | 800.02$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 72c | 784$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed Yes | 38c | 774.66$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.51 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 32c | 720.25$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 34c | 700.44$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.21 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 642.67$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.32 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 34c | 582.23$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.21 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 64c | 542.06$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 64c | 515.92$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.35 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked No | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 459.11$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.74 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 33c | 439.8$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.66 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…c580backed Yes | 35c | 430$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 65c | 415.13$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 33c | 410.11$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.79 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…f692backed Yes | 35c | 385$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…53dabacked Yes | 28c | 361.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.05 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +216.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1b20backed Yes | 41c | 321.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 66c | 320.82$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…8cfdbacked Yes | 37c | 299.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…3990backed Yes | 34c | 294.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…e6d1backed No | 65c | 293$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 35c | 276.13$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.18 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 36c | 237.82$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.04 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ad…29b8backed No | 65c | 231$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed Yes | 31c | 220$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…22f2backed No | 66c | 218.57$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 64c | 217$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 26c | 213.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 36c | 212.12$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.02 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…579cbacked No | 64c | 200$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…3ceebacked Yes | 36c | 200$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…070cbacked No | 67c | 198.04$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 182.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.99 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…0cf5backed Yes | 36c | 167.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.65 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 63c | 166$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…3f8dbacked Yes | 38c | 161.06$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 157$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.27 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…103bbacked Yes | 27c | 156$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.93 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…9698backed No | 65c | 154$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Yes | 43c | 145.65$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…49bfbacked No | 65c | 144.6$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33de…c7f4backed Yes | 37c | 128.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0534backed Yes | 8c | 126$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…4c7dbacked Yes | 41c | 125$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0132…c314backed No | 72c | 124.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a9…faebbacked No | 72c | 121.07$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 62c | 113.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 27c | 112.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9a…a41fbacked No | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ee…2590backed Yes | 9c | 110$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +325%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 64c | 108.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Yes | 39c | 106.81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d85…91b8backed Yes | 39c | 106$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 31c | 100.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…6378backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 76c | 95.02$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…241dbacked No | 65c | 94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x525e…ee0dbacked Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…11f4backed No | 61c | 89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 68c | 80.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 70c | 76.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 38c | 76.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Yes | 35c | 76.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…7c81backed Yes | 35c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…e6babacked No | 65c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 75c | 73.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed No | 68c | 72.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bb…1df4backed Yes | 36c | 67.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296c…9e76backed Yes | 37c | 65.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…7b8fbacked No | 61c | 61.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b52…d558backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in January?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in January?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in January?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.