Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19a8808337553bef28bf5fef1367da1844021f7f7a2578d42ec4fc4ec65afd19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0457…a72fbacked Yes | 2c | 13,040$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.49 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 2c | 10,634$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.8 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…67d4backed Yes | 2c | 6,523$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed Yes | 2c | 4,050$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 1c | 3,563$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…d6c1backed Yes | 13c | 2,581$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 2c | 2,538$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10f…c7dfbacked Yes | 13c | 2,519$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed Yes | 2c | 2,115$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 2c | 1,970$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 34c | 1,790$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 23cpaid | +231.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,764$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…a125backed Yes | 23c | 1,576$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f49…231dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed No | 80c | 1,495$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 25c | 1,184$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74b3…2367backed Yes | 32c | 1,155$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 1,125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d4…0a2fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 2c | 1,055$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,044$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed Yes | 2c | 1,013$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,013$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 923.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed No | 79c | 913.18$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.01 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 910.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +173.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…6babbacked Yes | 58c | 895.06$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf119…3db7backed Yes | 23c | 892.58$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…887abacked Yes | 14c | 871.55$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4e…0e0bbacked Yes | 3c | 799.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bf…e6dbbacked Yes | 49c | 767.45$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 1c | 753.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf365…f5e3backed Yes | 58c | 712.53$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 23c | 709.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.24 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed No | 56c | 647$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.78 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +1,104%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce15…89cdbacked Yes | 49c | 606.83$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…c27bbacked Yes | 5c | 589.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca41…be9cbacked Yes | 42c | 567.79$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…c56fbacked Yes | 4c | 560$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…9602backed Yes | 66c | 530.5$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd5…cccebacked Yes | 66c | 493.13$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…c0f4backed Yes | 38c | 489.63$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 62c | 461.26$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.02 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…887dbacked Yes | 18c | 450.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +71%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…bd0fbacked Yes | 76c | 434.84$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 432.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf145…2e5bbacked Yes | 24c | 424.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…0ec4backed Yes | 53c | 411$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…edb6backed Yes | 25c | 394.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906e…e7e6backed Yes | 76c | 387.46$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…4c56backed Yes | 66c | 381.69$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae15…5b25backed Yes | 73c | 378.11$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 20c | 351.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 309 | 18.1%56 W · 253 L | -29.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…4328backed Yes | 44c | 328.83$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d9…72aabacked Yes | 56c | 309.64$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7444…d414backed Yes | 42c | 306.48$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 15c | 213.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bd…7281backed Yes | 76c | 208.53$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 75c | 172.57$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddaa…fdecbacked Yes | 60c | 157.45$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…2101backed Yes | 28c | 152.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1285…51c8backed Yes | 33c | 131.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 130.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcc…0694backed Yes | 52c | 126.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c2…a6e0backed Yes | 36c | 115.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 13c | 112.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed No | 68c | 110.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked Yes | 14c | 103.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde3a…a787backed Yes | 59c | 102.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…e6c0backed Yes | 74c | 92.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b7…b1eebacked Yes | 37c | 91.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…790abacked Yes | 60c | 91.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…8ea6backed Yes | 79c | 84.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…8594backed Yes | 51c | 83.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…e909backed Yes | 61c | 75.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881f…3116backed Yes | 24c | 74.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeccc…71f5backed Yes | 61c | 73.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132c…7295backed Yes | 49c | 72.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…a2abbacked Yes | 79c | 69.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…dee4backed Yes | 52c | 68.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…834abacked Yes | 54c | 63.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…d7edbacked Yes | 74c | 59.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 33c | 54.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 69c | 47.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…2542backed Yes | 80c | 44.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb609…3c8ebacked Yes | 64c | 41.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f1…6cfbbacked Yes | 80c | 35.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…553ebacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in January?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in January?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?Yes won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in January?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.