Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x679d1b3c60a313e09ab12af19224acccee3ed0ae2d62b3d52019e52460a6388d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 27c | 21,042$5,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,747.96 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 27c | 5,855$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.05 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 73c | 5,034$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.04 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 34c | 2,814$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 26c | 2,766$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.86 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 68c | 2,529$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.71 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d9…9baebacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 33c | 1,600$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.99 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 31c | 1,479$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.46 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 70c | 1,409$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.44 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16be…23d9backed Yes | 27c | 1,400$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.28 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 1,300$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.97 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 24c | 1,207$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 69c | 1,146$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 69c | 1,125$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 69c | 1,091$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed Yes | 27c | 1,078$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…4f81backed Yes | 33c | 1,004$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2,039.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed Yes | 25c | 999.98$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 75c | 815.1$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.58 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4e…0e0bbacked Yes | 30c | 799.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 71c | 770.95$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.36 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 67c | 739.23$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1c…fb66backed Yes | 26c | 719.23$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed Yes | 26c | 712.05$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.61 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…097cbacked No | 62c | 680.16$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4c…dbd5backed No | 71c | 639.52$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 70c | 631.07$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 27c | 600$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Yes | 27c | 570.38$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.11 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 72c | 540.79$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.42 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 423$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.96 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…f9d9backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…3990backed Yes | 28c | 362.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…53dabacked Yes | 34c | 337.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +216.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a8…c016backed No | 64c | 328.16$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 25c | 322$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d9…72aabacked No | 59c | 319.67$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…3feabacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 30c | 298.68$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 67c | 289$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 34c | 287.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…070cbacked No | 66c | 277.7$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 35c | 256.18$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Yes | 26c | 238.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 32c | 213.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 67c | 213.5$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked No | 78c | 211$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 22c | 200.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…50b5backed Yes | 25c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 73c | 185.67$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 66c | 183$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 128 | 20.3%26 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 33c | 174.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 166.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…103bbacked Yes | 32c | 156$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 71c | 151.3$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…2937backed Yes | 33c | 143$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed No | 73c | 140$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…b503backed Yes | 33c | 136.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 27c | 136.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 77c | 133.27$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 131.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 70c | 127.74$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…4c7dbacked Yes | 27c | 124.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7da…5edfbacked Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed Yes | 24c | 106.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13b…0e2bbacked Yes | 41c | 104.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…4c56backed No | 59c | 102.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33de…c7f4backed Yes | 25c | 100.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 309 | 18.1%56 W · 253 L | -29.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…8692backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf365…f5e3backed No | 59c | 99.78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Yes | 24c | 99.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x525e…ee0dbacked Yes | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d8…38f7backed Yes | 24c | 82.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296c…9e76backed Yes | 26c | 81.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ace…e38bbacked Yes | 26c | 78.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…1244backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 28c | 71.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Yes | 27c | 67.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 31c | 67.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…4230backed No | 76c | 59.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 38c | 58.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa34…02c5backed Yes | 26c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4456…3fdbbacked No | 69c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…f483backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a7…46c4backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked Yes | 30c | 48.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 27c | 46.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23eb…c516backed No | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 64c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…bddcbacked No | 71c | 42.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in January?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in January?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?Yes won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in January?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.