TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x29ad…29b8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Valorant at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.34per pick52cpaid-74.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: NSB (-1.5) vs FUSION X (+1.5)backed FUSION X · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.23
Valorant: FUSION X vs No Sweat Blossom - Map 2 Winnerbacked No Sweat Blossom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$49.77
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$99.84
Valorant: FUSION X vs No Sweat Blossom - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUSION X · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29.23
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$49.64
Map Handicap: CHE (-1.5) vs Fuego (+1.5)backed Fuego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$99.84
Valorant: QoR vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagebacked YFP Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$37.41
Valorant: Fuego vs Contra - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fuego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$13.23
Map Handicap: FPX (-1.5)backed FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.46
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs F9 EICAR (BO3)backed Esprit Shōnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+51.5%+$44.88
UCAM Esports Club to win 1 maps?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$78.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Blood in Game 1?backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40.5
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+132.6%+$99.18
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$49.88
Game Handicap: NS.EA (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+2.5)backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+346%+$294.81
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$99.68
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+44.9%+$70.37
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.62
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$288.12
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$99.55
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson Tigers vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$99.36
Morgan State Bears vs. North Carolina Central Eagles: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+252.5%+$43.7
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (W)backed UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$65.73
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+270.4%+$397.12
Hofstra Pride vs. Towson Tigers (W)backed Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.32
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Stetson Hatters (W)backed Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.72
Texas Longhorns vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$85.2
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$85.1
American Eagles vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$85.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-61.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-77.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+71.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-72.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 23.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$10.08
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$35.67
Nets vs. Mavericks: 1H Moneylinebacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+219.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45.33
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+538.1%+$299.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+216.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+133.4%+$66.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Universidad Católica vs. CA Juventud: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+122.2%+$49.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+105.1%+$99.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+50.6%+$50.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Prizefighter' - Mumford and Sons debut week album sales be less than 200k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zuffa Boxing 3: Molina vs. Clark (Lightweight, Main)backed Clark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$42.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.