Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Stetson Hatters (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde38f052b151d5694c73380b88e88301e5b864d736e0e0f10317b7517c3f8529
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stetson Hattersof Lipscomb Bisons, Stetson Hatters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Lipscomb Bisons | 23c | 2,000$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.99 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stetson Hatters | 75c | 1,505$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Stetson Hatters | 71c | 410$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.48 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…90b9backed Lipscomb Bisons | 29c | 400$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Stetson Hatters | 67c | 292.52$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…7c81backed Lipscomb Bisons | 28c | 274$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…e6babacked Stetson Hatters | 73c | 272$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Stetson Hatters | 69c | 179.35$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…f572backed Lipscomb Bisons | 31c | 160$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…f692backed Lipscomb Bisons | 28c | 138$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lipscomb Bisons | 28c | 137.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…9698backed Stetson Hatters | 72c | 136$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ad…29b8backed Lipscomb Bisons | 27c | 136$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…241dbacked Stetson Hatters | 72c | 114$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lipscomb Bisons | 28c | 68.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lipscomb Bisons | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Stetson Hatters | 71c | 45.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Stetson Hatters | 73c | 40.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…c580backed Stetson Hatters | 73c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…5027backed Stetson Hatters | 68c | 22.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 50c | 20.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f243backed Stetson Hatters | 73c | 18.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 37 | 86.5%32 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28c2…892abacked Stetson Hatters | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.