Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6017145a7372ca435ef61d7250a92d9b6de0692c95f382de5c85e8c20b625e95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ThunderTalk Gamingof EDward Gaming, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed EDward Gaming | 60c | 778.52$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.35 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…9698backed EDward Gaming | 56c | 705.98$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 39c | 508.01$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.89 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 53c | 399.98$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.99 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed EDward Gaming | 47c | 399.73$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.87 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 394.26$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.56 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…2f5abacked EDward Gaming | 56c | 356$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…c580backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 356$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.36 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…241dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 356$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…f692backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 356$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…e6d1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 356$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…08bdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 264.86$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.86 | 298 | 33.9%101 W · 197 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 262.15$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.81 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed EDward Gaming | 59c | 261.02$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…233cbacked EDward Gaming | 56c | 178$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…7c81backed EDward Gaming | 56c | 178$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…e6babacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 178$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ad…29b8backed EDward Gaming | 56c | 178$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked EDward Gaming | 61c | 171.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 520 | 62.3%324 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…8536backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa179…8645backed EDward Gaming | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 170 | 38.2%65 W · 105 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed EDward Gaming | 50c | 35.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed EDward Gaming | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group PerseveranceEDward Gaming won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- Series: EDward Gaming Kill Handicap (-13.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+13.5)EDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.