Earnings · resolved market
Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa258b355d8a309dba6747b6a39d201b4eb2281221274e36f4c5ac50c48a7b59b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 4c | 3,714$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.37 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 27c | 1,559$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.75 | 342 | 37.1%127 W · 215 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 28c | 1,400$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.95 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 2c | 937$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +219.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…a70fbacked No | 37c | 656.43$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.8 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +12.8wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 29c | 600$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.31 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed Yes | 67c | 454.48$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…f903backed Yes | 69c | 429.95$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe58…4acbbacked Yes | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e54…c8ccbacked Yes | 70c | 407.09$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 69c | 399.95$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.96 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 31c | 395.56$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.48 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed Yes | 70c | 393.65$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.62 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 68c | 376.8$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.39 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…e895backed Yes | 69c | 344.45$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…233cbacked Yes | 67c | 290$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f3…9851backed Yes | 76c | 258$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked No | 42c | 236.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…241dbacked No | 34c | 225$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 30c | 224.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.53 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…24f8backed Yes | 71c | 218.77$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…3895backed No | 18c | 216.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 70c | 211.34$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.94 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…e6d1backed No | 34c | 206$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 760 | 37.6%286 W · 474 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 30c | 199.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.39 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…6f9dbacked Yes | 71c | 171.34$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.29 | 262 | 50.4%132 W · 130 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc531…62a5backed No | 32c | 163.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…684dbacked No | 33c | 152.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…9698backed No | 34c | 151$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…e6babacked Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa6…0a65backed Yes | 57c | 150$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…5f1cbacked Yes | 70c | 142.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…bb1bbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd356…504dbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…ad59backed Yes | 74c | 134.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 55c | 133.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed Yes | 75c | 132.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb81c…fb1cbacked No | 39c | 127.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 68c | 125.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes | 70c | 111$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 70c | 103.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf5…829cbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…a1a7backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…7e87backed Yes | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae7…80fcbacked No | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed Yes | 73c | 96.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…67b6backed Yes | 72c | 90.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked No | 28c | 89.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 32c | 89.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23eb…c516backed Yes | 50c | 87.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954f…e699backed Yes | 74c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…f692backed Yes | 66c | 79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5593backed Yes | 69c | 72.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6a…39c1backed No | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…aa24backed Yes | 74c | 67.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 68c | 63.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…9e26backed No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd59b…a716backed No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 31c | 62.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…bb54backed No | 33c | 61.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7587…2f22backed Yes | 70c | 60.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…8f65backed No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…9f02backed No | 33c | 60.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bad…d9b9backed Yes | 78c | 60.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ad…29b8backed Yes | 62c | 58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 26c | 57.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f19…bf1ebacked Yes | 70c | 56.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…1815backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ce…97a7backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bf…d1f4backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…966ebacked Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cda…08dbbacked No | 30c | 49.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Yes | 70c | 48.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…d8d5backed No | 33c | 36.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +180%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 29c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…d53abacked Yes | 70c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…a226backed No | 32c | 35.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504c…86c3backed Yes | 80c | 35.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 30c | 34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 32c | 33.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…5f3ebacked Yes | 70c | 31.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…0e60backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee4…ffe6backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…b21dbacked Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…19dbbacked Yes | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…53e3backed Yes | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…24fcbacked Yes | 67c | 29.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…ca27backed Yes | 70c | 28.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ef14backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588f…07d7backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…b9bcbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…9c3fbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbae…548bbacked Yes | 80c | 27.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.