Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6ca13f38f9c6c6e9084672758aed3c692baa45e82c17afa5aac3c89477e97e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsof UC Irvine Anteaters, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 43c | 1,988$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.55 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 54c | 1,394$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.15 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…241dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 54c | 688$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…c580backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 43c | 507$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.02 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…233cbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 45c | 388$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 18c | 292.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 20c | 287.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 49c | 205.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.74 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 66c | 177.02$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…f692backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 44c | 153$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ad…29b8backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 54c | 122$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…5fe8backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…714bbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 75c | 98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…7fafbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 52c | 96.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…e6babacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 56c | 94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…e6d1backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…47cbbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665d…5bd3backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…701cbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb7…dd4bbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 55c | 61.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 44c | 60.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…e3d3backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 80c | 51.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 76c | 50.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…6fbdbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 73c | 27.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…9698backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 53c | 21.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 54c | 20.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.