Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e80ae011226affcc01a00409fe458ee1254b21eb9f1bef49b3b3d8acc60ec45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b28…d021backed No | 3c | 1,402$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…3e9cbacked Yes | 31c | 971.48$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.72 | 833 | 32.1%267 W · 566 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…8cbcbacked Yes | 34c | 962.8$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.68 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 34c | 904.22$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.46 | 240 | 10%24 W · 216 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e1…29f8backed No | 73c | 843.83$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 7c | 752.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa629…fe39backed Yes | 17c | 675.76$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.84 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…824cbacked Yes | 72c | 623.93$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.32 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed Yes | 23c | 589.13$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 45c | 555.9$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -12.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9ddfbacked Yes | 20c | 524.82$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.33 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed Yes | 17c | 505.22$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.65 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c0…d9ffbacked No | 4c | 498.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9c6bbacked No | 75c | 478.22$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.53 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked No | 38c | 471.06$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…96babacked Yes | 76c | 445.51$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6a…db19backed Yes | 57c | 421.94$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.48 | 147 | 19.7%29 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 6c | 385.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.34 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4425backed Yes | 73c | 336.41$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.11 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 35c | 300$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.15 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…7056backed Yes | 27c | 297.48$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.79 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 268.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.08 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f84…6f7ebacked Yes | 27c | 267.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…a612backed Yes | 47c | 260.52$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…b8e3backed No | 77c | 258.79$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.47 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…b44bbacked Yes | 34c | 247.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.89 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 15c | 226.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…b498backed Yes | 54c | 221.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.15 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…72cbbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f7…b205backed No | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d2…addebacked Yes | 21c | 199.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.24 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Yes | 11c | 195.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.22 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 75c | 189.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.93 | 847 | 59.4%503 W · 344 L | +41.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed No | 18c | 185.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf20…3189backed Yes | 18c | 181.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +183.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 68c | 175.66$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 31c | 175.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.53 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b19…6b1cbacked Yes | 28c | 168.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.79 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c11…1992backed Yes | 67c | 164.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…cdc0backed Yes | 13c | 150$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.05 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 15c | 149.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 21c | 148.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 18c | 142.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 7c | 141.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…1358backed Yes | 19c | 135$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.87 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…3ad7backed Yes | 11c | 134.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.8 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 61c | 131.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 12c | 129.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…712cbacked No | 74c | 121.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd791…c3bbbacked Yes | 33c | 119$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…9698backed Yes | 16c | 118$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +111%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ad…29b8backed Yes | 16c | 118$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +216.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…d38fbacked Yes | 24c | 117.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x791a…ff06backed Yes | 17c | 116.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 108.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 158 | 18.4%29 W · 129 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 63c | 108.13$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 12c | 105.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0031…485abacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 99.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…526dbacked Yes | 19c | 91.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…6a3ebacked Yes | 19c | 89.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4f…d890backed Yes | 30c | 83.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 46c | 81.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c8…c312backed Yes | 20c | 80.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…989bbacked Yes | 60c | 79.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…917cbacked No | 73c | 77.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…21aabacked No | 22c | 76.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe110…52c2backed Yes | 57c | 76.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…1f7abacked Yes | 29c | 75.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +17.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes | 30c | 75.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Yes | 70c | 74.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked Yes | 17c | 72.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +41%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…8832backed Yes | 43c | 72.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…0be4backed Yes | 42c | 71.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Yes | 59c | 71.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…a3d5backed Yes | 29c | 70.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6839…a6d2backed Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…2b7ebacked Yes | 74c | 69.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…1720backed Yes | 59c | 66.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed Yes | 18c | 64.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 53c | 60.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 34c | 58.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…4cc6backed Yes | 53c | 58.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 27c | 57.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 270 | 50.4%136 W · 134 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d8…0c8cbacked Yes | 21c | 57.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 169 | 24.3%41 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…6732backed Yes | 27c | 56.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 58c | 55.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 74c | 53.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9231…b267backed Yes | 72c | 53.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…fcd4backed Yes | 27c | 51.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 33c | 50.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c8…f330backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0f…2458backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Yes | 32c | 49.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfd…2690backed Yes | 48c | 46.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on January 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on January 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.