TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b19…6b1c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
183
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Weather, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 58 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST8348.2%40 W · 43 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.91
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.18
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.96
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.26
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 67°F or below on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.93
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on February 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.68
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.95
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C or below on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$16.25
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.39
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.01
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 62°F or higher on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.73
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.91
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on January 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+39.8%+$11.71
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 52°F or higher on February 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.83
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or below on February 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+455.6%+$69.4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on February 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.44
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or below on February 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25.56
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+46.7%+$21.85
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on February 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.2%+$8.94
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.57
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or below on February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.34
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50-51°F on February 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.93
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on February 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.03
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST3710.8%4 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick11cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$34.15
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+155.3%+$104.56
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$103.82
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$58.59
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.55
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+469.1%+$3,721.44
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$748.77
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$39.28
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$73.61
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$821Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$820.59
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$306.5
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.62
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$147.16
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$482.9
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$77.72
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$409.81
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$86.53
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$112.09
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$48.93
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.97
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.1
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$217.22
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$243.98
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$8.77
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$98.1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$85.15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$83.74
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32.79
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.26
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+43.9%+$133.64
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+34.8%+$13.41
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+82.4%+$14.84
Will the US strike Syria next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+147.3%+$26.39
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+38.7%+$14.68
Will the US strike Iran next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+150%+$15.56
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$106.93
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$28.15
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid+20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+1,077%+$459.31
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.36
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$43.23
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.47
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+44.9%+$10.24
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.66
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 19-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$34.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 19-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.76
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.55
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.34
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.62
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.71
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.09
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+123.4%+$53.21
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.04
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+25.8%+$69.89
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.3
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+69.8%+$20.55
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$79.41
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-71.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-57.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-56%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2.94
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+28.8%+$29.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+194.1%+$100.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+30%+$4.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eyüpspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+25.5%+$72.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.