Olympics · resolved market
Will Jutta Leerdam (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1024ecf76fb7ee236ef1ff9b676425bf4d4aa216ec27c77a3ee33e4a83496736
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ba5…9d01backed No | 2c | 920.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 33c | 772.06$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed Yes | 45c | 705.17$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Yes | 66c | 507.45$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…beddbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed Yes | 64c | 438.03$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.03 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 59c | 435.38$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…8494backed Yes | 70c | 399.96$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 32c | 315.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed No | 39c | 275.45$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.05 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf11…22abbacked Yes | 66c | 274.09$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e73…b728backed Yes | 79c | 254.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 57c | 209.22$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked No | 38c | 196.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed No | 56c | 193.92$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785a…13ccbacked Yes | 53c | 189.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 70c | 188.22$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc027…eb78backed Yes | 63c | 172.06$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…d1fdbacked Yes | 66c | 150.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…94a7backed No | 35c | 141.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 41c | 111$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 31c | 110.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 27c | 100.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bc…8ce0backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x737c…a65dbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 58c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b0…bf41backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 61c | 67.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…4359backed Yes | 69c | 63.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…ce30backed Yes | 59c | 63.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes | 66c | 61.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Yes | 65c | 55.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b19…6b1cbacked No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed No | 42c | 53.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d2…ff19backed No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…0c9dbacked No | 39c | 51.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca57…e491backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…c2e2backed Yes | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…4cbcbacked Yes | 50c | 47.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…3594backed No | 37c | 46.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…58bebacked No | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked No | 67c | 42.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6470…aac7backed Yes | 65c | 40.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…c307backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…a212backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…28abbacked Yes | 70c | 35.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked No | 42c | 35.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…d18cbacked Yes | 71c | 35.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked No | 36c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 69c | 31.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed No | 35c | 31.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…a1eabacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a3…4707backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…2ed0backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…0f1bbacked Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…1ce9backed No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…01d7backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca7…2a4abacked Yes | 71c | 28.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…f3a0backed Yes | 72c | 27.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 62c | 26.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…47ebbacked Yes | 58c | 25.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…6c0bbacked Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Yes | 48c | 23.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fc…3c2dbacked No | 58c | 19.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…d945backed Yes | 67c | 19.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…14e6backed Yes | 70c | 18.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked Yes | 62c | 16.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…f873backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jutta Leerdam (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Miho Takagi (JPN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Suzanne Schulting (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.