Olympics · resolved market
Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2c63b68d3ef2615c5ffcaa9526bbf51c031e2db6ca65cef69aeb23470fdccd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 15c | 600$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 12c | 563.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Yes | 15c | 465.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 28c | 440$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 76c | 403.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…58bebacked Yes | 24c | 361.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Yes | 70c | 300.49$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 80c | 290.08$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Yes | 17c | 274.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 18c | 235.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…911fbacked No | 67c | 219.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ae…04b2backed Yes | 20c | 199.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…8a58backed Yes | 77c | 194.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 14c | 193.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…e85dbacked Yes | 21c | 119.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…94a7backed Yes | 17c | 115.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c23…3809backed Yes | 19c | 105.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…ecf9backed Yes | 20c | 100.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…1d17backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…4359backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 16c | 97.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 18c | 94.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…57b9backed Yes | 22c | 91.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d2…ff19backed Yes | 16c | 91.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…b10abacked Yes | 19c | 87.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…01d7backed Yes | 23c | 85.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5921…3e13backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 78.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…a95abacked Yes | 22c | 68.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…7167backed Yes | 24c | 42.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…b93dbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked Yes | 54c | 33.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 60c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…0c9dbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Jutta Leerdam (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Miho Takagi (JPN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Suzanne Schulting (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.