Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0524c2b5478c9f60a92e453e025e9428875eb18d2ad22f09aa805e9b0e374fe

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 2, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $890,134
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $351,015

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $890,134 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	3c	57,374$1,672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,671.5	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x148e…bb48backed Yes	1c	44,024$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.91	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	2c	24,585$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.51	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	0c	24,171$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.78	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60b4…c103backed Yes	1c	20,461$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	40	12.5%5 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+153.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddd8…e6f7backed Yes	0c	20,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	72	16.7%12 W · 60 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76d2…153abacked Yes	1c	18,000$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	62	4.8%3 W · 59 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+307.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	3c	17,839$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.43	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1355…6591backed Yes	0c	17,230$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.23	235	9.4%22 W · 213 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9285…c19dbacked Yes	0c	15,381$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.38	274	0.4%1 W · 273 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	+257.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	3c	14,172$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.1	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	13,674$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.22	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	0c	13,497$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	2c	11,493$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.28	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0873…09e8backed Yes	0c	10,996$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	169	0%0 W · 169 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes	1c	9,998$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.08	123	8.9%11 W · 112 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+54%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	1c	9,734$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.37	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	0c	9,511$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.03	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	2c	8,738$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.45	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Yes	2c	8,070$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.13per pick	4cpaid	+230.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes	1c	7,718$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.73	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	7,661$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.07	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes	1c	7,140$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.34	140	15.7%22 W · 118 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	6,945$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.09	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc7…68a3backed Yes	3c	6,201$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	52	13.5%7 W · 45 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	1c	6,191$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b19…6b1cbacked Yes	4c	6,022$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.22	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-13%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	0c	6,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.59	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	1c	5,324$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.32	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	0c	5,300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.61	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…e0d3backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	105	6.7%7 W · 98 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	+36%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	4,751$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.95	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes	2c	4,742$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.07	182	4.9%9 W · 173 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb01f…574ebacked Yes	1c	4,314$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	103	12.6%13 W · 90 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf17c…f7fbbacked Yes	0c	4,022$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…0f89backed Yes	2c	3,715$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	79	16.5%13 W · 66 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	2c	3,356$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.62	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8974…bedebacked Yes	1c	3,278$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.95	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+42%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	0c	2,900$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.05	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d37…2f72backed Yes	1c	2,773$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	105	13.3%14 W · 91 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-20%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	2c	2,763$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.44	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7d4…433cbacked Yes	2c	2,720$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.01	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+2.7wins	+0.16per pick	8cpaid	+233.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	3c	2,719$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.77	434	5.1%22 W · 412 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-33%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x380f…8229backed Yes	2c	2,633$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.38	177	22.6%40 W · 137 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6124…204fbacked Yes	4c	2,485$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.83	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+160.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes	1c	2,462$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	334	15.6%52 W · 282 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aaa…c18dbacked Yes	0c	2,367$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.89	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+219.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	2c	2,319$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.31	261	5.4%14 W · 247 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	2c	2,290$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.68	279	4.7%13 W · 266 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fed…d914backed Yes	2c	2,175$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.97	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	2c	2,028$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.37	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd423…10d3backed Yes	2c	2,018$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20fe…7968backed Yes	3c	2,000$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	88	19.3%17 W · 71 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…88eabacked Yes	3c	1,919$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.2	204	13.2%27 W · 177 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	3c	1,860$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.3	259	5.4%14 W · 245 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd979…d8a0backed Yes	1c	1,604$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.74	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cbe…70fdbacked Yes	2c	1,515$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2823…631fbacked Yes	2c	1,500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes	2c	1,457$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.36	218	18.3%40 W · 178 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f92…5c90backed Yes	4c	1,305$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	77	9.1%7 W · 70 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe787…f415backed Yes	2c	1,215$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb456…1774backed Yes	2c	1,130$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.35	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-85.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	3c	1,117$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.84	526	19.8%104 W · 422 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1606…0ba6backed Yes	5c	1,100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.7	100	21%21 W · 79 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf667…2abcbacked Yes	3c	1,039$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	126	19%24 W · 102 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed Yes	3c	1,034$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.84	83	12%10 W · 73 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	3c	1,005$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.79	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	2c	1,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	102	7.8%8 W · 94 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c80…6aeabacked Yes	2c	996.76$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a1…695dbacked Yes	1c	805.93$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	11cpaid	+189.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a6…558bbacked Yes	6c	800$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.23	181	23.8%43 W · 138 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27e4…ff39backed Yes	3c	738.73$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	3c	729.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5d0…4a48backed Yes	5c	729.48$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	6c	720$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.57	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x419e…8a4fbacked Yes	2c	681.38$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x733c…52d8backed Yes	4c	602.28$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	11cpaid	+50.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f31…f6b2backed Yes	2c	580.9$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.09	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61cf…48a7backed Yes	6c	570$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.91	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3359…683bbacked Yes	3c	567.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	554.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.54	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7849…da97backed Yes	2c	537.13$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	341	27.3%93 W · 248 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x72e5…4690backed Yes	4c	515.58$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	6c	512.77$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5830…f928backed Yes	6c	506.66$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	166	11.4%19 W · 147 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf069…e660backed Yes	4c	487.06$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa86d…b2dabacked Yes	2c	478.18$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.52	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	4cpaid	+425.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	8c	466.45$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.6	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cc8…02b2backed Yes	9c	446.34$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	4c	404.32$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.14	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad0c…df3cbacked Yes	4c	323.78$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.27	280	34.3%96 W · 184 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c39…d4c7backed Yes	6c	322.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed Yes	4c	287.41$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.08	89	38.2%34 W · 55 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb46…2df3backed Yes	6c	224.22$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	10cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event