AI · resolved market
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d6db5580403bb851c47da0b2a247fdcd76065d7738b86ac0bd67ecad94f4323
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 4,900$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de7…6190backed No | 9c | 3,710$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 54c | 2,576$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.98 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 16c | 1,556$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.13 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 77c | 1,170$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.69 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 885.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 16c | 805.75$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.03 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 690.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…2078backed No | 51c | 676.7$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.6 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 8c | 646.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed Yes | 29c | 644.79$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.8 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +13.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 25c | 644.79$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.52 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 39c | 588.91$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.34 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe71d…5cbcbacked No | 6c | 583.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e7…d3a5backed No | 9c | 555$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 76c | 400$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 46c | 367.49$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.73 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe751…5a2abacked No | 6c | 360.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 343.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 45c | 328.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked No | 6c | 326.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79f3…d803backed Yes | 78c | 300$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…ca08backed No | 7c | 293.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed No | 6c | 292.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…63bcbacked No | 7c | 284.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d28…985dbacked No | 14c | 280.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked No | 6c | 278.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 7c | 269.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…4e93backed Yes | 39c | 256.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.72 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 7c | 249.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 45c | 236.66$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.83 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 12c | 234.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 18c | 219.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 6c | 212.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 48c | 208.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 6c | 202.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 62c | 200$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 43c | 169.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…c708backed Yes | 65c | 167.94$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…66a2backed Yes | 56c | 137.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 33c | 125.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 15c | 124.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…8dddbacked No | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 10c | 116.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 44c | 112.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 71c | 102$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…4e08backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…5b3ebacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b19…6b1cbacked Yes | 45c | 96.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…a394backed No | 15c | 87.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…bbe4backed Yes | 54c | 85.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c52…f01fbacked No | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Yes | 26c | 69.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +406.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed No | 19c | 69.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45fc…35c4backed No | 26c | 65.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…30a8backed No | 75c | 62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…db8dbacked Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 41cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…05b7backed No | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27e…13a5backed No | 67c | 57.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 47c | 56.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc5…b066backed No | 49c | 50.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…3681backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…8fc4backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…2bfbbacked Yes | 35c | 47.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…3308backed Yes | 43c | 46.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -54%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 45c | 42.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…5a69backed No | 54c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…e1a0backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +185.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 55c | 38.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…7c61backed No | 53c | 37.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…167cbacked Yes | 37c | 35.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 25.6%54 W · 157 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dd…ff1bbacked Yes | 55c | 32.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 60c | 32.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c2…e8a3backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae01…0c40backed Yes | 63c | 28.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…569bbacked No | 45c | 28.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…7067backed No | 62c | 24.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…f2d0backed Yes | 53c | 21.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe554…ee0ebacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Baidu have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.