Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 62°F or higher on February 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x259d59bbc8ac4ee45a9edcd55404ce251f711fae8c94a98c8fcb3b5a5ffb7641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed No | 30c | 719.17$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.28 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2aa…586fbacked No | 34c | 430.22$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.84 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 68c | 409$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.39 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked Yes | 73c | 319.9$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…d0b7backed Yes | 72c | 311.48$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 296 | 42.9%127 W · 169 L | +19.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 22c | 280.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 25c | 253.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 65c | 253$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.65 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 65c | 250$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf911…8d8ebacked No | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…b4c7backed Yes | 60c | 226.94$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 36c | 212.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 20c | 209.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ec…a818backed No | 29c | 175.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…3de8backed No | 27c | 171.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 685 | 21.5%147 W · 538 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 30c | 151.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 183 | 16.4%30 W · 153 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked Yes | 69c | 148.18$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 608 | 51.2%311 W · 297 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…8da9backed Yes | 68c | 145$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 64c | 140.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 68c | 135.9$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 70c | 134$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 26c | 124.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…78bebacked No | 33c | 124.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 65c | 114.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed Yes | 67c | 112.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…6f34backed Yes | 57c | 111.13$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe17b…6f98backed Yes | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cc…a95dbacked Yes | 75c | 104.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 70 | 81.4%57 W · 13 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 44c | 99.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef03…1fbfbacked Yes | 75c | 98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 71c | 97.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…a2fdbacked No | 29c | 77.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c8…f330backed Yes | 59c | 75.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 24c | 71.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…3961backed Yes | 60c | 70.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 78c | 70.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0726…1f34backed No | 56c | 67.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b80…632bbacked No | 31c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked Yes | 67c | 63.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 294 | 69.7%205 W · 89 L | +26.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0408…3d68backed Yes | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +20.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45c9…a3d1backed Yes | 60c | 58.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…c51bbacked No | 31c | 54.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…6d11backed Yes | 78c | 53.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 349 | 70.2%245 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d4…d382backed Yes | 78c | 51.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…3165backed Yes | 70c | 50.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…98a3backed No | 28c | 48.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dc…b534backed No | 28c | 47.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed Yes | 70c | 46.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…d8edbacked Yes | 69c | 46.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…50ebbacked Yes | 60c | 45.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 315 | 67%211 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e4…33fdbacked Yes | 60c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0d…e79cbacked Yes | 72c | 43.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9277…112abacked No | 43c | 43.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfc…46e8backed No | 44c | 42.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…dd57backed Yes | 66c | 40.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7f…c287backed No | 37c | 40.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe55…f943backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…5845backed No | 35c | 39.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 72c | 39.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…fd72backed No | 47c | 38.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed No | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x049f…c09ebacked Yes | 64c | 36.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…9ad5backed Yes | 60c | 32.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…1adfbacked Yes | 63c | 31.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 312 | 62.5%195 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ee…9fc4backed Yes | 60c | 31.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b19…6b1cbacked Yes | 75c | 30.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee2…ba9ebacked Yes | 66c | 29.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3692…2136backed Yes | 71c | 28.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 53c | 26.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Yes | 79c | 25.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac2b…e724backed Yes | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…8c6bbacked Yes | 75c | 24.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…272cbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 727 | 26.4%192 W · 535 L | +63.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…32b9backed Yes | 70c | 18.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a2…1cd7backed Yes | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 62°F or higher on February 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 52-53°F on February 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on February 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 56-57°F on February 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on February 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.